Footy is back! The Full Slate Preview

[00:00:00] .

[00:00:01] Welcome to the under construction podcast where we are late, but it doesn't matter because

[00:00:04] Oh, no, we're both.

[00:00:06] That's important.

[00:00:07] We're both alive.

[00:00:09] That's important.

[00:00:10] I know I need to stress this week.

[00:00:12] I want to stress this again this week.

[00:00:14] If you have serious medical conditions, get help.

[00:00:17] Yeah, don't worry about soccer podcasts that are dog shit anyway.

[00:00:21] Don't die.

[00:00:22] That's that's a big deal.

[00:00:23] It's a big deal.

[00:00:24] Man, great day for soccer today, Tim.

[00:00:26] Oh my God, Jude.

[00:00:27] So last night I'm going through.

[00:00:29] I sound wonderful, as you can tell.

[00:00:30] I'm going through a little bit of a.

[00:00:31] Oh, good.

[00:00:32] Yeah, a little bit of a sickness.

[00:00:33] It's not.

[00:00:34] The spa.

[00:00:35] I have not.

[00:00:36] I haven't.

[00:00:37] And it's been two weeks of international break.

[00:00:39] If you're not a soccer fan, football fan, it's been a drought.

[00:00:43] What happens is teams go on to play for their home countries and all of footy shuts

[00:00:50] down.

[00:00:51] So for the last two weeks we've had to watch.

[00:00:54] Baseball started yesterday.

[00:00:56] Like I live.

[00:00:57] I live on that space.

[00:00:58] We had to watch.

[00:00:59] We had to watch soccer.

[00:01:00] I have not watched that was that.

[00:01:02] So we had, we had the crew.

[00:01:05] All these losers.

[00:01:06] Yeah.

[00:01:07] Yeah.

[00:01:08] As I sit in my house, getting a breathe.

[00:01:10] Okay, so skip over it.

[00:01:13] We got a lot of heat today.

[00:01:15] Yeah.

[00:01:16] I don't have anything to complain about.

[00:01:20] So that's new.

[00:01:21] There weren't any games, you know?

[00:01:23] We did fix MLS, fixed the collective bargaining agreement.

[00:01:26] Our crew match.

[00:01:27] Okay.

[00:01:28] I got a little bit.

[00:01:29] Our crew match was so fucking bad that it got the MLS deal done.

[00:01:31] So yes, that's negative, but we had to, we had to eat one so that the whole league

[00:01:36] could prosper.

[00:01:37] So you're welcome sincey for your first place that you're not really, but you

[00:01:40] are a percent joint please.

[00:01:42] You're welcome Miami for getting your dick kicked in by Lewis Morgan, not the Red

[00:01:45] Bulls.

[00:01:46] Just Lewis Morgan himself.

[00:01:47] Fuck you.

[00:01:48] Yeah.

[00:01:49] Three times.

[00:01:50] I'm not on the field.

[00:01:51] Everyone just sort of like this, just letting, letting.

[00:01:54] That was fucking disgusting.

[00:01:56] If Miami plays like that, they're not only going to win, they're not going to make

[00:01:59] the playoffs.

[00:02:00] So somebody better get messy another leg.

[00:02:03] So not bitching.

[00:02:04] Thank you MLS for sucking for so long that when you did something to get back

[00:02:09] to where you were, it feels good and then fucking us over the process.

[00:02:13] But we got the MLS refs done and today we have soccer back with full lineups

[00:02:17] starting at two.

[00:02:18] 10 a.m. Eastern time currently Boondis League is about to kick off.

[00:02:22] If you're in the discord, you already got the play.

[00:02:24] We have some fucking beauties real quick before we get into MLS.

[00:02:28] Look at this matchup, Rudy.

[00:02:32] We're starting off real early your time.

[00:02:35] Yeah.

[00:02:35] What is it?

[00:02:36] You're 730 out there.

[00:02:37] Yeah, seven.

[00:02:39] You get RB Leipzig, which I love the team, but that matchup is not great,

[00:02:43] but you get Leverkusen and Haufenheim.

[00:02:45] Haufenheim is one of those teams where we talked about

[00:02:51] Elegalaxy.

[00:02:52] I think Haufenheim would be the Elegalaxy of the Galaxy right now of the Boondis

[00:02:56] League.

[00:02:57] They might not be the worst, but they've scored 44.

[00:03:00] They've given up 50.

[00:03:01] So if you look at the top, you got teams like Bayer, Leverkusen.

[00:03:04] What are they doing right now is insane.

[00:03:06] They haven't lost in 25 years and they're about to win the Boondis League.

[00:03:11] But they've scored 66 goals.

[00:03:12] They've only allowed 18.

[00:03:14] So when you look at them, yes, they score a lot, but their defense is strong.

[00:03:19] And then the next teams that are all up top are 31.

[00:03:25] So you got to get to fifth place before you get to 32.

[00:03:28] Yeah.

[00:03:28] Drop to eight, you get 50.

[00:03:31] That is exponentially more goals allowed in the same amount of time.

[00:03:36] Like, like Alexi is doing that this year, they're going to be the same type.

[00:03:39] So when you're still ranked high and you give up a ton of goals,

[00:03:41] that means you score a ton.

[00:03:42] They're electric matches.

[00:03:43] That's what we're looking for.

[00:03:45] Bayer Leverkusen is going to win this year.

[00:03:49] They're still going to push.

[00:03:50] I think they'll score two or three themselves.

[00:03:52] And I think Haufenheim will get one on them today.

[00:03:56] So we have the let me pull it up real quick so I don't get the play wrong.

[00:04:00] I sent it to you right ready?

[00:04:02] This too about I'll say this about Haufenheim.

[00:04:05] It's a fun name.

[00:04:06] It's well, first of all, it's a fun name.

[00:04:08] And doesn't it sound doesn't it sound like a like

[00:04:11] Wienersen, that's all placed with like beer, like a beer.

[00:04:14] It sounds like a beer, a beer itself.

[00:04:16] You're like, I'll have a heffa-fiesin and a Haufenheim.

[00:04:17] Yeah. Yeah.

[00:04:19] I'll have a Haufenheim and then a blow.

[00:04:20] Let's go to the Haufenheim and get a couple of brews.

[00:04:24] What I what I do love about them is

[00:04:27] they never they don't stop.

[00:04:29] The they really don't quit.

[00:04:30] And that's that's another thing like LA Galaxy.

[00:04:33] It's not just the happenstance of the goals

[00:04:35] and they're that they're able to score on opponents.

[00:04:39] They don't quit.

[00:04:39] So they have a lot of late goals

[00:04:41] that have made a big difference in their season.

[00:04:44] And so that's really, really fun to watch.

[00:04:45] Speaking of Bayer, Leberkusen, their coach, Shawi Alonso

[00:04:50] is not going to be going to Liverpool and is not

[00:04:54] and is not going to be coaching by our Munich Munich next year.

[00:04:58] Of multiple sources have confirmed

[00:05:00] that he is going to stay at Bayer, Leberkusen

[00:05:02] much to all of their fans celebration.

[00:05:04] And so we are going to have for the first time

[00:05:08] a legitimate, a legitimate force

[00:05:13] playing against Bayern Munich.

[00:05:15] This is like

[00:05:16] doing this had waves, waves in the Bundesliga.

[00:05:20] But this is this is different.

[00:05:22] Yeah, this is really different.

[00:05:23] This is going to be a fantastic next year's Bundesliga.

[00:05:27] Tim, next maybe next season for the Bundesliga.

[00:05:30] We need to like really focus on this

[00:05:32] because it's going to be a fantastic league.

[00:05:34] Make sure you know that all I do is that

[00:05:36] that's the first thing I look at when I look in the morning.

[00:05:37] That's the first thing I watch.

[00:05:39] I turned off Tottenham or didn't even turn on Tottenham the other day

[00:05:43] and watched Bundesliga and then straight to Man City.

[00:05:46] I felt I felt terrible.

[00:05:47] So moving on, though, Bayern, speaking of Bayern Munich,

[00:05:51] pretty popular team, that is the second game they play Dortmund today.

[00:05:55] Yeah.

[00:05:57] I am so fucking excited for this game.

[00:05:59] That is going to be an electric game.

[00:06:01] You know, that's always an electric game.

[00:06:02] That's that's the that's the rivalry, right?

[00:06:05] Like in the Bundesliga.

[00:06:06] That's the one I'm trying to make bad analogies for sports teams.

[00:06:11] There is not an NFL football

[00:06:15] matchup that that compares not even close like Boston.

[00:06:18] It's a more like, you know, New York Yankees and Boston sort of.

[00:06:22] But not even close, not even close.

[00:06:23] The fans don't really care as I mean, the fans care.

[00:06:26] But like you don't see 100,000 people killing each other.

[00:06:29] Not that you should kill each other over soccer

[00:06:31] and send shit off fire.

[00:06:33] Dortmund has a different atmosphere.

[00:06:35] We modeled our wall here in Columbus after

[00:06:38] Dortmund stayed there, say very aggressive slope.

[00:06:41] And it's very intentional for the to give the home team

[00:06:45] a bit of advantage. It's like visually

[00:06:47] if you've ever been to that stadium, you'll get it.

[00:06:49] But enough about the bullshit.

[00:06:51] Let's talk about the goals.

[00:06:52] That's all anybody wants are goals.

[00:06:54] These two teams fucking score goals, dude.

[00:06:56] Malin is out.

[00:06:58] That's our boy shots on target always.

[00:07:00] He's like a sneaky minus one 60, one 50, one 70 range.

[00:07:04] Whereas Harry Kane, the God is minus 1100.

[00:07:08] I don't think he's going to play again.

[00:07:11] I think the injury was a little bit worse.

[00:07:13] Yeah. If this is any other team, he's already ruled out.

[00:07:16] Right. They're going against Dortmund.

[00:07:19] They are. This is a 130 Eastern time kickoff.

[00:07:22] So you so there's a little bit of time on this one.

[00:07:25] But they are both in the top four and Dortmund could make a push.

[00:07:29] The goal differential is pretty unattainable,

[00:07:31] but Bayern is fighting for Champions League and all that fun stuff.

[00:07:37] I don't think that they're going to win it.

[00:07:39] You know, I want Leverkusen to win.

[00:07:41] I like the switch up.

[00:07:42] I like the parody, as we'd say, and it'll it'll track more players to come there.

[00:07:47] But look at the goals, man.

[00:07:49] They've the last time that they scored fewer than four total goals in a game.

[00:07:54] Let me keep scrolling.

[00:07:56] Oh, man, that's so bad.

[00:07:57] Still score.

[00:07:58] Me goes May 26th, 2020 was the last time that fewer than four goals were scored.

[00:08:07] But here, let me read the matchup so quick.

[00:08:08] Five, six, four, five, four, four, six, four.

[00:08:14] Wow. So it's not only unlikely

[00:08:15] that there's going to be two and a half goals, which is our,

[00:08:17] which is part of our bet.

[00:08:19] I would easily feel comfortable pushing that to three and a half.

[00:08:22] I'm just looking for a builder in this, though.

[00:08:25] And then the third game.

[00:08:26] Tell me if I'm crazy.

[00:08:27] I went with Bremen and Wolfsburg over one and a half.

[00:08:32] We're going to get the shots and target on Byron in a second,

[00:08:35] but I just want this is the third play.

[00:08:37] It's going to be a good game.

[00:08:38] I really just don't trust Wolfsburg this season.

[00:08:41] I have my faith in them to be any type of consistent

[00:08:46] in any statistic is unfortunate.

[00:08:51] And that sucks because I do love Wolfsburg.

[00:08:53] It's a great club, but they are.

[00:08:56] They are definitely playing down.

[00:08:58] Boy, do they miss Kevin De Bruyne?

[00:09:00] Dude, right?

[00:09:02] How about that pass I sent yesterday to real quick?

[00:09:05] Though I did one and a half, not two and a half in that game.

[00:09:10] Brennan has scored 100 percent of their matches

[00:09:14] have been over one and a half or greater.

[00:09:16] And 89 percent of these two.

[00:09:20] Yes, 89 total heads up.

[00:09:22] 88 total heads up 89 this season,

[00:09:25] head to head over one and a half.

[00:09:26] So we've got that's what a builder is.

[00:09:29] A builder is very likely outcomes to try to steal units.

[00:09:33] So we've got one and a half in this game.

[00:09:35] So you need two total goals, two total goals

[00:09:38] in the to watch a levercruising

[00:09:40] and then two goals in the most electric match of the day.

[00:09:43] Dortmund and Byron Munich.

[00:09:46] So that's that's Bundesliga.

[00:09:48] Normally I'd go over shots on target.

[00:09:50] I really like those markets.

[00:09:52] Get in the discord because these fucking lineups aren't locking until I think we

[00:09:56] got last week, I think we had like a 10 minute before kickoff where it finally

[00:10:00] locked 10 minutes and there really are supposed to.

[00:10:03] They really are supposed to submit more than an hour ahead of time,

[00:10:08] but they have not been.

[00:10:09] And so I don't know.

[00:10:10] Maybe it's not regulation.

[00:10:11] Maybe it's just like, oh, this is our custom.

[00:10:13] Yeah.

[00:10:15] But it's like I saw one popped up 23 minutes before the game.

[00:10:19] So so specifically with Harry Kane.

[00:10:21] It's hard to make bets.

[00:10:22] It's hard to make bets because we're going to we would work Harry Kane in.

[00:10:25] If you if you follow the show last week, I don't know if we've done a follow up

[00:10:28] show, but we had the Harry Kane.

[00:10:30] It was a three player shot on target.

[00:10:32] Harry Kane voided, but we still is like plus three something paid out.

[00:10:36] So I want to they'll void and you won't lose, at least I'm fandal,

[00:10:39] but I don't want to I want to get better odds and I want to know what I'm doing.

[00:10:44] You know, so when you look at Byron, they have

[00:10:48] a troop of moting.

[00:10:49] They have him really, really high, which is he would be getting shots

[00:10:52] on target if Harry doesn't play.

[00:10:53] But then they have Harry at minus 1100.

[00:10:55] Just fucking wild.

[00:10:57] And then they've got Harry Kane and Leroy saying that you're saying

[00:11:00] if you said it wrong, get an assist from saying to Kane or Kane to say.

[00:11:04] Yeah, I bet most people would read that way, especially with

[00:11:06] that's like the English language we were just talking about.

[00:11:08] How do you say this part?

[00:11:09] Kane, how do you say it?

[00:11:09] Sonne. Oh, OK. Well, so Harry Kane.

[00:11:13] Sonne.

[00:11:14] I think Harry Kane should change his name to accommodate.

[00:11:19] I thought it would just be more convenient for everyone.

[00:11:21] All right, real quick.

[00:11:22] Let me look to make sure I'm not missing anything.

[00:11:27] Ah, fuck, I am missing something at 11 a.m.

[00:11:30] We've got Tottenham hops for versus Lutentown.

[00:11:34] This is the only thing we'll talk about ever and primarily

[00:11:38] because it's the only team that matters.

[00:11:42] Oh, we're not betting.

[00:11:44] We're not betting this game.

[00:11:45] That's basically the point.

[00:11:47] But Lutentown is out of relegation.

[00:11:49] There are two spots ahead of it.

[00:11:50] And as a Tottenham supporter, I want this game to end in a draw

[00:11:54] so that Lutentown can stay even though we're in fifth place

[00:11:58] above Manchester United, that duck shit team.

[00:12:02] And we're fighting for a Champions League or UEFA spot right now.

[00:12:07] It's tough. It's tough for me.

[00:12:08] I don't want Lutentown to go down, but.

[00:12:10] What's your thoughts on that game?

[00:12:11] Real quick.

[00:12:13] My my thoughts on this one.

[00:12:16] I would actually favor a both teams to score

[00:12:19] because Lutentown is fighting for their life and they always score.

[00:12:23] Yeah. And they always score goals.

[00:12:26] I don't I wouldn't put them over that.

[00:12:29] I think that their their maximum

[00:12:30] going to be able to score one goal against Tottenham at home.

[00:12:34] You know, playing against Tottenham at home is tough.

[00:12:37] They got a great, great fan base.

[00:12:39] And it's I don't know, maybe 14 times larger than Lutentown.

[00:12:44] The one stadium is larger than the entire city of Luton.

[00:12:49] I think I think Tottenham puts two or more away against Luton.

[00:12:55] That's that's my prediction.

[00:12:56] It's not it's not what I want to happen because I love watching Luton.

[00:12:58] I think they're super exciting team.

[00:13:01] But I wouldn't put my money past them getting more than one goal

[00:13:04] against Tottenham at home.

[00:13:06] All right, so really quickly, I know I said we weren't going to talk about this,

[00:13:09] but I'm looking at the lines on it and I think you can build something fun.

[00:13:13] If you do the.

[00:13:15] The shots on target with Timo, they've got they've got their own Bundesliga up front.

[00:13:21] Timo is going to get a shot on target.

[00:13:23] Is Sun is Sun going to come out firing?

[00:13:25] I'm seeing mixtures from him.

[00:13:27] Obviously, it's been weeks, but he's either there to score or just

[00:13:31] disinterested, you know, it's like a hat trick or zero shots.

[00:13:34] So I'm curious about today.

[00:13:37] So here's here's my thoughts on this one, because Luton is a counterattack team

[00:13:42] because they absorb pressure and then they fly forward.

[00:13:45] This is their this is their mode of getting goals.

[00:13:48] It's mostly kind of like a it's kind of controlled chaos.

[00:13:51] It's really, really good coaching.

[00:13:52] If you if you watch Luton and you imagine your head

[00:13:56] if they had a few more key players that were were, you know,

[00:13:59] world beaters, then then actually the the the formations that they use

[00:14:04] and their counterattack football is really, really effective.

[00:14:06] It's like a marino esque of the old Chelsea days.

[00:14:10] And so here's what I'd say about this.

[00:14:11] I think Sun is actually going to be drifting and switching back and forth

[00:14:15] with Madison. I think he's going to do false nine sometimes.

[00:14:18] I think he's going to be doing that to absorb pressure.

[00:14:21] I don't know if Sun gets a lot of shots today because of the counterattack football.

[00:14:26] So you may be looking for goals coming from somewhere else,

[00:14:30] or at least shots coming from Werner and Madison,

[00:14:33] I think are going to have more shots than Sun on goal today.

[00:14:37] I think Barkley needs to have on Luton's side.

[00:14:40] I think he needs to have the game of his life

[00:14:43] if they hope to do a tie or victory.

[00:14:47] It's really going to hinge on him and Burke

[00:14:50] at the back on the right because I think that Tottenham

[00:14:54] is going to focus on the left hand side with Werner.

[00:14:57] And so Burke needs to have a great game.

[00:14:59] Here is what after what you said and after I read a little bit more,

[00:15:02] I'm double checking to make sure these lineups.

[00:15:09] Yeah, they've confirmed it.

[00:15:10] OK, so Sun up front, Madison tacking mid

[00:15:14] along with the Werner tacking mid.

[00:15:16] Yeah. Yeah. And he's going to be on the left side.

[00:15:20] I love it. So here's here's what I'm looking at.

[00:15:23] I could be a long shot and we could do a couple of versions of it.

[00:15:26] I love that I was like, we're going to avoid this game altogether.

[00:15:28] But then we found some value.

[00:15:29] It's a great game. It's a great game.

[00:15:31] I hope there's lines for us here.

[00:15:33] OK, so answer this for me.

[00:15:35] Is Tottenham going to come out hot?

[00:15:36] Are they going to sit back when the team's a counter?

[00:15:38] Oh, no, you go ahead.

[00:15:39] Are they going to come out hot?

[00:15:40] Are they going to sit back?

[00:15:41] I think Tottenham, I think in the first 15 minutes,

[00:15:44] are going to come out hot.

[00:15:45] I think they're going to try to bury Luton early

[00:15:47] so that they can make substitutions

[00:15:49] because they're really trying to climb the table.

[00:15:51] So they need to kind of put Luton away early.

[00:15:53] So I think those first 15 minutes are going to be

[00:15:55] the most energetic from Tottenham.

[00:15:59] And they're going to see where Luton is

[00:16:00] and if they're able to counter attack.

[00:16:02] So I think that if Tottenham scores early,

[00:16:05] it's going to be a long, long day for Luton Town.

[00:16:09] They're going to be running their asses off.

[00:16:12] So that's my prediction for that.

[00:16:15] Yeah, exactly.

[00:16:16] So if that happens,

[00:16:18] Noah Charleston, I hope is getting up as well.

[00:16:21] Leaves room.

[00:16:23] Timo Werner is the other one, right?

[00:16:26] There's Sun and then there's Timo.

[00:16:28] Timo's a stud.

[00:16:29] I don't mean that in a derogatory way.

[00:16:30] I'm just saying it's sometimes easy to tell

[00:16:31] if a team's pushing who's going to get the ball.

[00:16:33] And in this case,

[00:16:34] for Charleston would take a shot on goal.

[00:16:35] Kucho, perfect example.

[00:16:37] I wish every team had a fucking Kucho.

[00:16:38] It'd be so easy to bet

[00:16:39] and it'd be so fun to watch, but whatever.

[00:16:41] We have them here.

[00:16:42] It's fucking awesome.

[00:16:43] So you have a James Madison.

[00:16:45] Will James Madison be Phil Foden of two years ago

[00:16:48] or will he be Phil Foden of now?

[00:16:49] Right?

[00:16:50] Like he just completely switched

[00:16:51] and he looks to attack.

[00:16:53] Here's my thought.

[00:16:54] James Madison Werner,

[00:16:55] one shot on target in the first half.

[00:16:57] So we come out hot.

[00:16:59] We're ripping.

[00:17:00] Don't have to be goals.

[00:17:01] Just have to go in.

[00:17:02] Yeah.

[00:17:03] Yeah.

[00:17:04] So the only thing that messes that up is Sun.

[00:17:07] Sun taking over.

[00:17:09] So what I could do here is...

[00:17:12] I love this a lot.

[00:17:13] All right.

[00:17:14] We're throwing a little $6,900 on this one.

[00:17:16] That pays out $571.

[00:17:17] So that's James Madison and that's Team Werner

[00:17:20] to both have a shot on frame in the first half.

[00:17:23] And then the way you can back that up is go up

[00:17:25] and do one or more shots on target in the full game

[00:17:28] just to have the...

[00:17:31] What do you call it?

[00:17:32] Like insurance.

[00:17:33] The other thing...

[00:17:36] We switch Sun in there

[00:17:39] and then take Sun and Teemo at plus 744.

[00:17:44] Yeah.

[00:17:45] I think James Madison is the wild card.

[00:17:46] Like I think Teemo takes one and then James or Sun

[00:17:49] or all three.

[00:17:50] So what's your thought there?

[00:17:52] I mean, between the two, between Madison and Sun,

[00:17:57] it really kind of is a coin flip because like I said,

[00:18:00] I think they're going to be switching their roles

[00:18:02] back and forth.

[00:18:03] It's going to be a false nine situation.

[00:18:05] So I think Madison sometimes is going to be ahead of Sun.

[00:18:07] Sometimes going to be ahead of Madison.

[00:18:10] My bet is kind of on Madison.

[00:18:12] I see Sun right now just as he's coming back into form.

[00:18:16] I think I see him more of a distributor.

[00:18:18] Maybe the only time Sun is playing a traditional striker roles

[00:18:22] in those first 15 minutes, maybe that's it.

[00:18:25] But after that, I see him more as a distributor in this game

[00:18:28] because Kulisevsky is...

[00:18:30] Man, he gets on hot streaks and I can see that happening today

[00:18:34] against Dottie, him getting right past him

[00:18:36] and just him against Kabore all day.

[00:18:40] So I would say I'd put my money on Madison for the shot

[00:18:43] in the first half and in the same with Werner.

[00:18:47] The longer it goes on, second half,

[00:18:50] I'd put more money on Sunny.

[00:18:53] Yeah. OK, OK.

[00:18:54] So there is a play.

[00:18:56] Hey, I'm getting this out right now.

[00:18:57] We're a little late.

[00:18:58] So I'm trying to...

[00:19:01] Do I have a podcast picks in this one?

[00:19:03] I don't. OK.

[00:19:06] Here is a sneaky...

[00:19:08] A bunch of us have a podcast that some guys talking about soccer

[00:19:11] and they go, hang on, let me post this thing.

[00:19:13] Sit here in silence while I do it.

[00:19:15] I'm very sorry for our production value,

[00:19:17] but the value is not in the production.

[00:19:19] It's in the fucking sports betting and it's winning.

[00:19:21] And we didn't update that.

[00:19:22] I haven't calculated it,

[00:19:24] but I think we're at 68 or 69 units since launch,

[00:19:27] which is perfect.

[00:19:28] Yeah.

[00:19:29] I just can't win anymore.

[00:19:30] But once we hit 69 units,

[00:19:32] I think we just stay there forever.

[00:19:34] If anyone was...

[00:19:36] While you're looking that up,

[00:19:37] if anyone was watching the West Ham United game,

[00:19:39] that was an unbelievable early match today.

[00:19:41] Seven goals.

[00:19:42] West Ham...

[00:19:43] There's seven goals in this game, a red card,

[00:19:46] so lots of excitement.

[00:19:48] You got two great coaches.

[00:19:49] You got two really good teams.

[00:19:52] West Ham, they are down immediately.

[00:19:57] Six minutes off the kick.

[00:19:59] Penalty kick.

[00:20:00] All right.

[00:20:01] So Isak scores.

[00:20:04] Then they go on a three goal tear.

[00:20:08] 21st minute, 45th minute.

[00:20:10] Well actually 50th,

[00:20:12] 55th minute and then the 48th minute.

[00:20:14] And so it's 3-1 West Ham.

[00:20:17] That's how the game lasts until the end of the game.

[00:20:22] Newcastle gets another penalty,

[00:20:24] 77 minutes and then Barnes-Barrie's two

[00:20:27] in the 83rd in the 90th minute

[00:20:29] and they have a red card.

[00:20:31] Fantastic fucking footy.

[00:20:33] If you think,

[00:20:35] oh, soccer is not my sport because it doesn't have action,

[00:20:38] you are just not watching good soccer.

[00:20:40] That's your problem.

[00:20:41] What was it? 4-3?

[00:20:43] That's a 28-21 football game.

[00:20:47] You know?

[00:20:48] Yeah.

[00:20:49] That's how many scores occurred.

[00:20:50] Okay.

[00:20:52] Get back on track.

[00:20:53] Sorry.

[00:20:54] Both those games,

[00:20:55] both those,

[00:20:56] but it's like a game started already

[00:20:58] and we have zero goals.

[00:20:59] I don't appreciate that.

[00:21:01] I need goals right now.

[00:21:02] Yeah.

[00:21:03] Just one other thing with Tottenham,

[00:21:05] if you were to take

[00:21:09] Sun, Timo, James,

[00:21:11] all three to have one or more shots.

[00:21:15] Oh, damn it.

[00:21:16] I looked at the wrong thing.

[00:21:17] I was looking at one or more shots on top.

[00:21:19] Nope. That's wrong.

[00:21:20] Fuck.

[00:21:21] I put the wrong play in there.

[00:21:23] Damn it.

[00:21:24] Sorry.

[00:21:26] There should be more goals happening right now.

[00:21:28] Freberg did score against Muchenklaibach.

[00:21:32] We've got a...

[00:21:34] Damn.

[00:21:35] Do you have that picture?

[00:21:36] Two in both.

[00:21:37] These are the same time is not great.

[00:21:39] I apologize.

[00:21:40] I was looking at,

[00:21:41] I'm looking at shots on target in the first half.

[00:21:42] That's the play that I'm looking at.

[00:21:43] And I hit shots on target in each half.

[00:21:46] I think if they score early,

[00:21:47] they will be pulled and that's a bad play.

[00:21:50] Yeah.

[00:21:51] So we're looking at

[00:21:53] shots on target in the first half.

[00:21:54] If a team's coming out hot

[00:21:55] and a team gives up goals like Luton,

[00:21:57] we want to hammer them early

[00:21:58] and they're going to pull off their players.

[00:22:00] That's another thing on the podcast.

[00:22:01] We say shots on target per 90.

[00:22:03] That's per 90 minutes played

[00:22:05] because they have like a shots on target per game.

[00:22:07] And then they have per 90.

[00:22:08] So if they play 15 minutes a game,

[00:22:10] like Manay,

[00:22:11] he just scores a goal every time.

[00:22:13] His goal per 90 is going to be crazy.

[00:22:16] That was a good old days.

[00:22:17] All right.

[00:22:18] So shots, let's go shots on target in first half.

[00:22:22] Come on baby.

[00:22:23] There it is.

[00:22:24] I fucked that one up big time.

[00:22:26] Okay.

[00:22:27] So if you go Timo, James Madison,

[00:22:29] you get plus 230.

[00:22:31] Okay.

[00:22:32] That's good.

[00:22:33] Shot on target in the first half.

[00:22:35] And then if you go,

[00:22:39] it's like reloaded.

[00:22:40] Give me a second.

[00:22:41] I love the internet.

[00:22:42] Dude,

[00:22:43] I am struggling right now.

[00:22:46] It's a good day though.

[00:22:47] I'm really excited.

[00:22:48] This felt, I woke up.

[00:22:49] I went to bed last night at 1115 or 1130.

[00:22:52] And I woke up this morning at like 915.

[00:22:56] Like you.

[00:22:57] Yeah, dude, we took a full,

[00:22:58] we took a coma last night.

[00:23:00] It was wonderful.

[00:23:01] Yeah, I needed it bad.

[00:23:02] That's big time for Tim.

[00:23:04] It's like a week of sleep in one day.

[00:23:07] What was the other one?

[00:23:08] Oh yeah, yeah, yeah.

[00:23:09] Everybody gets a shot on target in the first half.

[00:23:11] Let's see what it looks like.

[00:23:13] I don't love it,

[00:23:15] but I do like it at plus 429.

[00:23:17] It's not terrible.

[00:23:21] I'm up though 69.

[00:23:22] Let's just do it.

[00:23:23] All right.

[00:23:24] Let's do it.

[00:23:25] I'm like, no funds have been deducted for you.

[00:23:27] Why did you log me out?

[00:23:28] Rudy, I'm having a really hard time right now.

[00:23:30] This is not the format for this show.

[00:23:31] I apologize against everyone.

[00:23:33] We haven't even got to MLS yet.

[00:23:35] I'm just trying to give these, these, these picks.

[00:23:37] And it's not going well.

[00:23:41] You know, you always want your,

[00:23:43] you always want your technology to match your enthusiasm,

[00:23:46] but it doesn't always happen.

[00:23:48] It just doesn't.

[00:23:49] It's not.

[00:23:50] We can just build up our enthusiasm.

[00:23:51] We just get really excited.

[00:23:52] And then you like press a button and you press a button

[00:23:54] and you wait and it reloads.

[00:23:56] Everyone knows this shit.

[00:23:57] It happened to all peoples.

[00:24:01] Okay. Let's move to,

[00:24:04] let's move to MLS.

[00:24:05] Let's talk about the one.

[00:24:07] Soccer.

[00:24:08] We're moving to the league that now has its refs back.

[00:24:11] I'm very, I'm very grateful.

[00:24:14] We have our refs back.

[00:24:15] This is the first weekend that we're going to have them back in action.

[00:24:20] Hopefully they're all being paid well and compensated well.

[00:24:23] And hopefully, hopefully Don Garber got humiliated in the meeting.

[00:24:33] Man, remember when I said I wasn't going to

[00:24:35] be your headed the agreement?

[00:24:37] Who knows?

[00:24:38] We don't.

[00:24:39] I just like to hate on him.

[00:24:40] You know what?

[00:24:41] I'm going to keep the,

[00:24:42] I'm going to keep the stretch of not bitching going and just say,

[00:24:45] I like that every game is going to be potentially ref better than that game.

[00:24:50] Yes.

[00:24:51] Let's look.

[00:24:52] I feel like perfection.

[00:24:53] I'm just looking for better than what we had.

[00:24:56] They were, yeah.

[00:24:57] Yeah.

[00:24:59] It was not where it was nowhere near where we have to worry about perfection.

[00:25:03] Yeah.

[00:25:04] Well, when, when all the,

[00:25:05] when all the commentators for all the networks are scratching their heads and going,

[00:25:09] well, you can't tell us not to say that they're not doing bad.

[00:25:13] Which is what MLS has been doing or Apple,

[00:25:16] one of the two has been saying, don't talk about it.

[00:25:18] All right. You're getting me in there Rudy.

[00:25:20] All right. Let's go to, let's go.

[00:25:22] And one 30 buyer.

[00:25:24] I mean it plays Dortmund.

[00:25:26] I cannot wait.

[00:25:27] I don't know where to watch it.

[00:25:28] I have too much excitement to sit at my house.

[00:25:30] And again, discord get in the discord right now.

[00:25:33] You can have a free 30 days.

[00:25:36] We'll give you a full 30 days for free.

[00:25:38] Go to the,

[00:25:39] join the discord, click on my little link in my bio.

[00:25:41] And when you join for free, join the free one and then a DM me on there

[00:25:47] and I'll send you or like go in the footy chat or something to be like,

[00:25:50] Hey, Tim told me to come here and I'll send you a link for a free 30 days.

[00:25:53] That way you can really dive in, find the value

[00:25:56] and just learn what's going on.

[00:25:59] It is a lot at first to any new system is a lot.

[00:26:02] But just for reference me alone in the last in March.

[00:26:07] So not even 30 days were up 28.9 units.

[00:26:09] Actually, I didn't, I didn't calculate last night.

[00:26:11] So I think 31.

[00:26:12] Yeah.

[00:26:13] And then there are one, two, three, four, five other channels.

[00:26:20] Of people like me, better than me that are putting out information and picks themselves.

[00:26:25] And there's a couple of dudes in there right now that are just absolutely crushing it.

[00:26:28] There was one night where I didn't have anything because soccer has been on spring break.

[00:26:32] And I just tailed a couple of theirs.

[00:26:34] I didn't have to do the research, which is it,

[00:26:36] I'm not saying like we're incredible, but we put a lot of fucking time into this.

[00:26:40] And I was able to make like a couple of units just for whatever he says.

[00:26:44] So I got to actually be the receiving end of a discord user who just gets to take the picks.

[00:26:51] It was fucking wonderful.

[00:26:52] So enjoy that, get in there anyways.

[00:26:54] Moving on.

[00:26:55] Let's get in the first game 2 p.m.

[00:26:58] Two games at 2 p.m.

[00:27:00] I want the raw Rudy thoughts.

[00:27:04] Okay.

[00:27:05] Raw Rudy sounds like a terrible porn star.

[00:27:08] Like a very unsanitary porn star.

[00:27:12] We've got Philadelphia Union facing off against Minnesota United.

[00:27:15] And what I, what I'm excited about is sort of the switch in roles that we have in this Philadelphia traditionally has been putting out great teams every year season in season out.

[00:27:30] Their, their players have been showing up big in every game.

[00:27:34] They spread the wealth.

[00:27:35] They're still doing that.

[00:27:37] They only scored eight goals this season and the most that anyone has is two.

[00:27:40] They've got three players with two and a couple with one.

[00:27:42] So they still spread the scoring around like they always have.

[00:27:45] That's sort of their style, but they are not finding the back of the net and they are.

[00:27:50] They have been exposed many, many times so far this season.

[00:27:54] They should have more goals against them right now.

[00:27:57] They have a positive differential differential, but they should have been scored on many more times.

[00:28:02] I think Minnesota gets that done today.

[00:28:04] I think we get an away win from Minnesota against Philadelphia today.

[00:28:09] I agree with you, Folli.

[00:28:10] So I'm definitely, I'm definitely thinking at least both teams to score and I think Minnesota puts them away two one.

[00:28:15] Yeah. That's what, that's, we're kind of on the same page on that one.

[00:28:19] Are you in the, are you in the little footy chat there on discord?

[00:28:22] Rudy, you want to hop in there?

[00:28:23] Yeah, I'll jump in there.

[00:28:24] You got to do two.

[00:28:25] Yeah.

[00:28:26] I'm going to jump in there.

[00:28:27] I'm going to jump in there.

[00:28:28] I'm going to jump in there.

[00:28:29] I'm going to jump in there.

[00:28:30] Yeah. I'll jump in there.

[00:28:31] You got to do two things if I'm doing two things.

[00:28:33] All right.

[00:28:34] It's only fair.

[00:28:36] Why can't I find the major league soccer on this?

[00:28:41] God, this is the worst.

[00:28:43] This is just the worst show.

[00:28:44] Why are you here?

[00:28:45] The money.

[00:28:46] That's why we're here.

[00:28:47] That's it.

[00:28:48] That's that's why we did it.

[00:28:50] All right.

[00:28:51] So same read as you.

[00:28:53] Filly's good.

[00:28:56] Minnesota's hotter.

[00:28:58] I don't mean more attractive.

[00:29:00] I mean, they are just playing better.

[00:29:03] I mean, both of them have great crests and I really like their,

[00:29:06] I really like their jerseys.

[00:29:08] So we can talk, we can talk about fashion if you want.

[00:29:11] I was just talking about the hotness of the dudes themselves.

[00:29:14] Yeah, I know.

[00:29:15] Cause that is very important goal scoring.

[00:29:17] Some of the most beautiful people of all time.

[00:29:19] What was that?

[00:29:20] I know you love talking about the hotness of the dudes.

[00:29:23] I'm just trying to steer it to fashion.

[00:29:25] No, you know, speaking of hot dudes,

[00:29:27] we got burn.

[00:29:28] Compana didn't really have a game.

[00:29:30] We didn't talk about that.

[00:29:32] Yeah.

[00:29:33] Yeah.

[00:29:34] Okay.

[00:29:35] MLS where you at?

[00:29:36] All right.

[00:29:37] This is what I'm looking for.

[00:29:38] So Rudy, you want to start with first half goals?

[00:29:40] You want to start with both teams of score or you want to

[00:29:42] start with team totals?

[00:29:43] Those are the three markets that we're looking at before

[00:29:45] shots on target.

[00:29:46] Four shots on target.

[00:29:47] So you got first half goal.

[00:29:49] We got both teams of score.

[00:29:51] We got total.

[00:29:52] Let's start with first half goals.

[00:29:53] I made the,

[00:29:54] I made the executive decision.

[00:29:56] Okay.

[00:29:57] Because Minnesota United versus Philly,

[00:29:59] 100%, this is the season first half goals.

[00:30:03] Yeah.

[00:30:04] So instead of taking the two and a half or instead of taking

[00:30:08] the, sorry, not this season, this is their head to head

[00:30:12] statistics.

[00:30:13] So in the one, two, three or five, six games that they

[00:30:16] have played against each other since 2017 when Minnesota

[00:30:21] became a team, they have gone over the one and a half

[00:30:23] 100% of the time, 100% of the games have been built in

[00:30:26] to score and 100% of the games have had a first half

[00:30:29] goal.

[00:30:30] That's beautiful.

[00:30:32] It is.

[00:30:33] It is.

[00:30:34] Right.

[00:30:35] You know, and you know how I, you know, I talk about

[00:30:37] current form and past form quite a bit.

[00:30:41] This isn't a traditional rivalry.

[00:30:43] I don't think it goes back.

[00:30:44] I don't think it's touching on some of that data.

[00:30:46] I think that there, I think the data, I mean,

[00:30:48] obviously the data is legit.

[00:30:50] But what I'm looking at more is current form.

[00:30:53] Yeah.

[00:30:54] And Delphia is just there, they're a, they let in

[00:30:56] goals, they score goals right now.

[00:30:58] Yeah.

[00:30:59] I think both teams to score.

[00:31:00] That's just a lock.

[00:31:01] So both things for this one is one minus 180.

[00:31:04] A first half goal because obviously that's a little

[00:31:08] bit more specific, but both teams can accomplish

[00:31:10] it is minus 380.

[00:31:12] Now it doesn't only require one goal versus two,

[00:31:15] both of them are hitting at 100% clip.

[00:31:17] I do understand what you're saying.

[00:31:19] I think, I think the first, I don't know,

[00:31:22] I don't know if I think the first half goals safer,

[00:31:24] but I'm like leaning towards it, even though they've both,

[00:31:26] the data would support them both being 100% of the time.

[00:31:29] And what you're saying would support them letting them in.

[00:31:31] So let's build, let's build two plays.

[00:31:35] Let's build a first half goal play that doesn't

[00:31:37] include both teams to score.

[00:31:38] And then let's do a both teams to score long shot.

[00:31:41] I like that.

[00:31:42] Remember who fucked that up last week?

[00:31:44] Miami.

[00:31:45] Thanks a lot guys.

[00:31:46] Yeah, fucks.

[00:31:47] I forgot about that till right now.

[00:31:49] And I just felt about 50% of that, that pain.

[00:31:52] How are you going to fucking lose four nil and not even score

[00:31:55] a single goal when you've scored 85 goals all year?

[00:31:58] Not cool.

[00:31:59] Well, not, not, you know, it's not everybody is, you know,

[00:32:03] not everyone is the old LFC.

[00:32:05] I just want to say that.

[00:32:07] Rest in peace, bogus.

[00:32:08] They got a Jarros basically done and Kaikimara our old friend

[00:32:13] twice over Kaikimara.

[00:32:15] He's played for 11 MLS teams now and he played for the crew

[00:32:19] twice.

[00:32:20] So that kind of like playing for 13 MLS teams, you know,

[00:32:23] because he got transferred and transferred.

[00:32:25] He did.

[00:32:26] Kaikimara is the Benjamin button of major leagues.

[00:32:29] I think he's 75 years old now at least body of a 20 year old.

[00:32:34] I think I was watching him in like 96 when I was like 10 in

[00:32:38] the team came or you get it.

[00:32:40] And he was, and he was probably coaching then and he's

[00:32:43] just been getting younger and younger and younger.

[00:32:45] Yeah, he was coaching when coming out of retirement in the

[00:32:48] other way.

[00:32:49] In the other direction.

[00:32:51] Kaikimara.

[00:32:52] So yeah, LFC is going to be a little bit, a little, a little

[00:32:56] bit older, a little bit older.

[00:32:58] Yeah.

[00:32:59] Yeah.

[00:33:00] Just a little bit older for them there.

[00:33:02] They really have not found, found their form.

[00:33:04] Bogus has not been the player that we kind of all hope

[00:33:07] that he would be for them because it makes them more

[00:33:11] fun to bet on.

[00:33:12] Oh, so much fun.

[00:33:13] And so they really do need Oliver Géroux to come in and

[00:33:20] fill that spot.

[00:33:21] I just don't think Bogus in his current form is going to

[00:33:23] start over Tilman.

[00:33:24] And so Tilman is probably going to be there.

[00:33:26] So Bogus may actually be a bench player, which is a

[00:33:29] bummer because he really, he really is a talent.

[00:33:31] He's just not having a good year.

[00:33:32] I actually see this the same way but different.

[00:33:34] I think if Bogus gets kicked out of town because of

[00:33:36] that, he goes somewhere else with less pressure and

[00:33:39] flourishes.

[00:33:40] So it would be nice to see him in a Colorado or a.

[00:33:43] Or San Jose.

[00:33:45] San Diego.

[00:33:46] But no, I want to actually take that back.

[00:33:48] I want him in like a NYC or like somewhere that has a

[00:33:51] big market that hasn't been delivering.

[00:33:52] Oh yeah.

[00:33:53] Okay.

[00:33:54] You know what I mean?

[00:33:55] Yeah.

[00:33:56] So he can be the guy because you don't catch a

[00:33:57] lot of those Colorado charlots.

[00:34:01] It seems like that that are like not even New

[00:34:04] England would be a good fit for him.

[00:34:05] I think.

[00:34:06] Yeah.

[00:34:07] So we got to go on.

[00:34:08] So first half goals, there are four games in this

[00:34:12] slate, four matches that have 100% head to head,

[00:34:15] which is just it gives me a reed of what's been

[00:34:17] happening and then also the current form is more

[00:34:20] important because the teams two years ago may

[00:34:22] not be at anywhere the same, but trend is a trend

[00:34:25] and those teams still do that.

[00:34:26] So we've got number two is Austin and FC Dallas.

[00:34:28] Austin and FC Dallas, 100% head to head.

[00:34:31] First half goal.

[00:34:33] It is the battle of Texas my friend.

[00:34:35] Yeah.

[00:34:36] I definitely see a first half goal.

[00:34:38] Austin's been letting him in Dallas.

[00:34:40] Despite Jesus Ferrera not being really what everybody

[00:34:43] hoped he would be.

[00:34:45] He still is clinical about 30% of the time and if he

[00:34:48] is able to do that just for 10 minutes, I feel

[00:34:52] like he's either going to have some dangerous

[00:34:54] assists or he's going to score himself.

[00:34:56] So I definitely see a first half goal.

[00:34:58] Austin has been letting him in Dallas despite

[00:35:01] Jesus Ferrera not being really what everybody

[00:35:03] hoped he would be.

[00:35:04] So I definitely see a first half goals there and I

[00:35:07] definitely see both teams to score in the Austin

[00:35:09] Dallas game.

[00:35:10] So there's just for comparison, both teams five

[00:35:15] and five in five allowed.

[00:35:17] So they scored five.

[00:35:18] They've allowed eight.

[00:35:19] Five in eight allowed.

[00:35:21] So in five matches and four matches, they have

[00:35:24] the same goal differential, which is kind of

[00:35:26] crazy, which is how much better Dallas is

[00:35:29] doing.

[00:35:30] And then historically 78% over one and a half,

[00:35:33] 56% on the both teams to score 100% first half

[00:35:36] goals.

[00:35:37] If you go back to 21, there's some eight goal

[00:35:40] games between the two of them.

[00:35:41] There's an eight goal game.

[00:35:43] Most of them more recently since 2023 early

[00:35:46] 2023, 1 nil 3 nil 1 nil.

[00:35:49] So they haven't their 0 for three in the last

[00:35:51] three both teams to score their five out of

[00:35:53] nine total.

[00:35:54] So they're either ending the stretch or they're

[00:35:56] becoming a never been on the both teams

[00:35:58] to score team.

[00:35:59] But I'm taking first half goal 100% head to

[00:36:01] the left.

[00:36:02] They're both firing.

[00:36:03] They're both scoring.

[00:36:04] They're both allowing goals, eight goals to

[00:36:06] four eight goals to five.

[00:36:07] That's a.

[00:36:08] So if you take just those two Philadelphia,

[00:36:11] Minnesota, Austin Dallas, you get minus

[00:36:13] 134.

[00:36:14] That is an acceptable.

[00:36:15] Straight play.

[00:36:17] We're going to do that.

[00:36:19] Regional rivalry still matter in every

[00:36:21] sport and this is a regional rivalry and

[00:36:24] it is it still matters.

[00:36:26] It still impacts the game.

[00:36:28] We've seen that with with teams that

[00:36:30] have been shit all year, but then they play

[00:36:32] that regional rivalry and they step up to

[00:36:34] the game.

[00:36:35] So that still matters.

[00:36:36] And I think that's always a factor here.

[00:36:38] Speaking of first half goals, we have zero

[00:36:40] from Leverkusen or Bremen.

[00:36:42] So they need to go ahead and get on that.

[00:36:44] But what's it called?

[00:36:46] Bundesliga does score all the time and

[00:36:49] they love the last 15 of the second

[00:36:51] half or the first half in the first

[00:36:53] 15 of the second half, which is weird.

[00:36:54] There's like this sandwich of goals.

[00:36:56] Everybody looks at sandwich.

[00:36:58] You would hope that more goals get scored

[00:37:00] 15 minutes after the half because you

[00:37:02] would hope that the adjustments made at

[00:37:04] halftime by the coach.

[00:37:06] Exactly.

[00:37:07] All right, third team.

[00:37:08] We also out Lake versus St. Louis city.

[00:37:10] This is a weird one.

[00:37:11] The first half goal here 100 percent.

[00:37:13] We have three matches head to head

[00:37:15] though.

[00:37:16] So that 100 percent is nice.

[00:37:18] But it's not as long the rest of them

[00:37:20] are six or greater.

[00:37:21] So this is just since March of 2023

[00:37:23] four goals, four goals, two goals,

[00:37:25] two out of three both teams to score

[00:37:27] 100 percent over one and a half.

[00:37:29] 100 percent first half goal.

[00:37:31] How are we feeling about that today?

[00:37:33] I'm feeling that pretty strong.

[00:37:35] Yeah, I'm feeling just some more fun

[00:37:37] stats before we hear from you.

[00:37:39] Five matches each 10 scored eight

[00:37:41] allowed for St. Louis.

[00:37:43] Seven scored six allowed for Salt Lake.

[00:37:45] Love it.

[00:37:47] Yeah, it's it's just they're just

[00:37:49] they're just playing good soccer right

[00:37:51] now.

[00:37:52] I'm excited for real Salt Lake because

[00:37:53] they've had a few down years

[00:37:56] in a row.

[00:37:57] And this season they

[00:37:59] you know, they are really kind of

[00:38:01] coming into their own and Christian

[00:38:03] Erango, his influence not just

[00:38:05] as a striker but his influence just on

[00:38:07] the offense as a whole.

[00:38:09] He is just bringing everybody

[00:38:11] along with him.

[00:38:12] Yeah.

[00:38:13] And so I this is a this is an

[00:38:15] exciting team to watch.

[00:38:16] I really I think this is not their

[00:38:18] year, but I do think

[00:38:20] that they have the ingredients for

[00:38:22] next year to be

[00:38:24] top two in the West.

[00:38:25] I really they're there.

[00:38:26] They are well coached

[00:38:28] and I feel like this is a good

[00:38:30] squad.

[00:38:31] I like I like real Salt Lake even

[00:38:33] to win in this game, even though

[00:38:35] you would say, ah, St. Louis City

[00:38:37] they score so many goals.

[00:38:39] I think we're also Salt Lake takes

[00:38:41] the win at home against St. Louis

[00:38:43] City despite them being able to

[00:38:45] score late goals.

[00:38:46] I'm fine with all that.

[00:38:48] I'm just getting pissed because

[00:38:50] the last one that fits the

[00:38:53] the data is Portland

[00:38:55] and Vancouver.

[00:38:57] Is Portland going to fuck us?

[00:38:59] This one has some data.

[00:39:01] Look at the head to head 36 matches

[00:39:03] between these two teams.

[00:39:05] OK, we've got 64 percent

[00:39:07] both teams to score and 72

[00:39:09] percent over one and a half, but

[00:39:11] that 100 percent first half goal.

[00:39:13] These are two teams seven

[00:39:15] and four through four matches for

[00:39:17] Vancouver.

[00:39:18] That means they scored seven and

[00:39:19] four.

[00:39:20] They've allowed, you know, one

[00:39:21] and then Portland nine and eight

[00:39:23] in five. So they've scored nine goals

[00:39:25] with scoring one or zero

[00:39:27] last week. They scored one, right?

[00:39:29] Yeah.

[00:39:30] And then because they didn't fuck it up.

[00:39:32] Miami did and then they've allowed eight.

[00:39:33] So the first half goal in this one makes a lot of

[00:39:35] sense. That's 100 percent with a lot of data.

[00:39:37] What's your thought?

[00:39:38] I'm I'm with the data here

[00:39:41] and Vancouver at home.

[00:39:43] They feel like they feel like they were

[00:39:46] I think that the fans and the team

[00:39:48] feel like last year

[00:39:50] they they had a legitimate run

[00:39:52] and they lost their best player

[00:39:54] in the middle of the season to Columbus.

[00:39:56] Yeah, they really this

[00:39:58] season they got it. The whole team has a chip

[00:40:00] on their shoulder. I am so

[00:40:02] excited about their soccer. So I

[00:40:04] definitely see the first half goal there

[00:40:06] and I see it with Vancouver.

[00:40:08] I you can't count on Portland right

[00:40:10] now. I love the dynamics

[00:40:12] of that team.

[00:40:13] I do see both teams

[00:40:15] to score here too.

[00:40:16] But I think Portland comes

[00:40:18] and scores in the second half.

[00:40:20] I don't think they're going to do anything

[00:40:22] in the first half.

[00:40:23] I

[00:40:24] they're going to try to absorb pressure from

[00:40:26] Vancouver. I will not be betting the both teams

[00:40:28] scoring this strictly out of principle,

[00:40:30] but I'm super down with the first half

[00:40:32] goal. Other people maybe

[00:40:34] if I stay away from it, they should bet it.

[00:40:36] They should put the house on it because then it'll hit.

[00:40:38] I got you guys. Yeah, go bet both teams score

[00:40:40] on that game because I'm not going to bet it.

[00:40:42] So you will win. Enjoy that free money.

[00:40:44] Just do them up.

[00:40:46] So those four matches, Philly, Minnesota,

[00:40:48] Austin, Dallas, Salt Lake,

[00:40:50] St. Louis, Vancouver

[00:40:52] in Portland.

[00:40:54] All pretty

[00:40:56] I'm just not going to show them St. Louis.

[00:40:58] I was going to say all pretty awesome cities that are Philly and St. Louis, but

[00:41:00] putting them in the same

[00:41:02] same world

[00:41:04] is Philly's tough. So plus one 95

[00:41:06] if you bet all four of those games

[00:41:08] to have one or

[00:41:10] they can have 50 first half goals, but we just

[00:41:12] need one first half goal.

[00:41:14] You get plus one 95. That is a play

[00:41:16] backed by data given you probably

[00:41:18] around I am not doing that 50

[00:41:20] 50% ish like coin flip

[00:41:22] of happening, but you're getting it at like a 30%

[00:41:24] where there's a lot. There's some closing

[00:41:26] not closing some good value.

[00:41:28] Let me just struggle to talk.

[00:41:30] I love it. So

[00:41:32] I'm putting a unit on that to win

[00:41:34] essentially two units 1.95

[00:41:36] units and then we've got

[00:41:38] the two I like

[00:41:40] pick your favorite two out of that ready.

[00:41:42] Hmm. My favorite two

[00:41:45] out of those

[00:41:47] out of the favor to

[00:41:49] the Austin F.C.

[00:41:51] Dallas that's that's definitely it.

[00:41:53] And

[00:41:55] yeah, I really feel like the

[00:41:57] Philadelphia Minnesota game, the early game.

[00:42:00] Those are my favorite two as well.

[00:42:02] Awesome. There we go. The

[00:42:04] least likely of the four according to the books

[00:42:06] is

[00:42:08] Austin Dallas, which

[00:42:10] if you just asked me blindly, I would say that's the

[00:42:13] feels like the most likely like the opposite. But they've got

[00:42:15] there. They've got smarter computers than me.

[00:42:17] Hoff and Heim put ones in. I fucking told you there you go.

[00:42:20] Hoff and Heim now levercues and comes back scores

[00:42:22] to we're good to go.

[00:42:24] They're done. Yeah.

[00:42:26] One of the plays I was going to give out was a first half goal

[00:42:28] and it was minus 700 in that

[00:42:30] I was going to put it into it and it was like that's just too juicy

[00:42:32] and it took till the 32nd

[00:42:34] minute for them to score. So there's a little sweat

[00:42:36] for that minus 700. A little sweat.

[00:42:39] Squeaky bum time. All right. So

[00:42:42] we've got some heaters and I'm very excited about it.

[00:42:45] I fucked up and put the wrong bed and I keep scrolling by

[00:42:48] and getting sad. Man, so if

[00:42:51] son Timo and James Madison have one or more shots on

[00:42:54] target in each half, I'm going to win some

[00:42:57] money. Very likely.

[00:43:00] So we've got I'm voting for I'm voting for that then

[00:43:03] can you check on Dortmund's lineup and see if they locked it yet?

[00:43:05] Considering it's still two hours, two and a half hours.

[00:43:07] What in Luton Town?

[00:43:09] I want to tell you this right now. Luton Town has scored

[00:43:11] a goal against Tottenham Hats, Hotspur

[00:43:14] at home. This team, bro.

[00:43:16] It's 1104.

[00:43:18] Dude, I am telling you, man, I am telling you this

[00:43:21] team, they are

[00:43:23] they are against all odds.

[00:43:26] They are so fun to watch. If you don't know anything about Luton Town,

[00:43:29] Luton Town is a very, very small club.

[00:43:32] Their stadium, I think only holds, you know, 14,000

[00:43:35] people or something like that. And and we're talking

[00:43:38] at Tottenham. We're talking 75, 76,000

[00:43:41] or something like that.

[00:43:44] The David Goliath scenario here

[00:43:47] is just it cannot be stressed

[00:43:50] enough and to watch Luton Town go into

[00:43:53] every single arena, go into every single

[00:43:56] stadium and have no fear,

[00:44:00] no respect. They respect no team.

[00:44:03] They don't respect Man City. They don't respect Liverpool.

[00:44:06] They don't respect Tottenham. They respect no one.

[00:44:08] We play our football. We don't give a shit. You're going to score goals.

[00:44:10] We don't give a fuck. That's why we're playing our game.

[00:44:13] It is so exciting to watch that game just

[00:44:16] started that they didn't even update on the books yet.

[00:44:19] The third minute they scored in the third minute

[00:44:22] and I didn't get to watch it. I'm really sad about this.

[00:44:24] I'm happy that we're doing the show right now, but

[00:44:27] we're missing the fun. Damn it. I knew I knew it was going to happen.

[00:44:29] There's about to score. So

[00:44:31] well, change the formation honestly at the very end

[00:44:34] and the predicted formation was to have more

[00:44:36] subtop and they put Chong up top

[00:44:39] and not only did that work for them

[00:44:41] in the third minute where Chong scores a goal,

[00:44:44] but it really it really sets up this

[00:44:47] whole half going into half

[00:44:50] time in Luton's favor and I'm loving it. I still

[00:44:53] think time pulls out the wind here. I think they've got all the talent.

[00:44:57] But but but if Luton wins,

[00:45:00] that's just going to be fucking gravy. It's just fucking gravy.

[00:45:03] I just love it. Wow.

[00:45:05] This is hoping for a tie because you know, I love me.

[00:45:08] Yeah. Everybody loves sunny.

[00:45:10] Well, if if Tottenham collapses,

[00:45:14] it could be an early excuse to get him out of here.

[00:45:18] Let's go Luton fucking destroy him.

[00:45:21] So so sun mixes.

[00:45:23] The sun goes MLS. Yeah.

[00:45:25] Sorry, son. I hope that it sucks for the rest of the season so that you can come

[00:45:28] enjoy retirement.

[00:45:30] Yeah, sunny. We want you to be sad only so that you can be so glad when you put on

[00:45:34] that Columbus crew jersey.

[00:45:36] I don't I don't know what or how I could react if that were to happen.

[00:45:40] I would just be in shock and disbelief.

[00:45:42] You know he's an NYC FC guy if he gets, you know,

[00:45:45] he's not coming here over here or or LAFC.

[00:45:48] Here's the other opera. Here's the other opportunity.

[00:45:50] Oliver.

[00:45:51] Roug.

[00:45:52] A laFC his contracts only 18 months.

[00:45:54] I see him only playing about 12 of those months because I think he's going to

[00:45:59] get injured. He's 37 years old.

[00:46:02] Even though he got, he still scored 12 goals last year.

[00:46:06] It's a hotty and he's still scoring goals right now.

[00:46:09] I do see an injury very much like all of the players that come who

[00:46:15] have not had a break for the last 12 months.

[00:46:18] You realize that if he joins what normally would have been a two off

[00:46:22] break. He doesn't get so Jiru at 37 coming in no break.

[00:46:27] These are all factors, right? He's got an 18 month contract.

[00:46:30] I do see him getting injured.

[00:46:31] He only plays 12 months.

[00:46:32] That means he's going to be done, which means they might be on the hunt

[00:46:36] for young men's son to come to the Los Angeles football club.

[00:46:40] Wouldn't you be so happy to come and hang out with me in Los

[00:46:45] Angeles and go see games?

[00:46:46] And watch sunny score goals.

[00:46:49] That's a huge is I just blew your no, no, because like I'm angry about it,

[00:46:57] but it's such a better outcome than him not coming to MLS.

[00:47:02] You know what I mean?

[00:47:03] I would much rather him come play at laFC in MLS as much as I would

[00:47:08] hate that.

[00:47:09] I'd also love it.

[00:47:10] So good for the league.

[00:47:12] So when you're a fan of a player, because then I have to root

[00:47:16] against him when he plays.

[00:47:17] Well, I guess they really would really play the crew that often

[00:47:19] because they're done going to the cup.

[00:47:21] You know, they got their one in so they don't get to play us that

[00:47:24] often anymore.

[00:47:26] Okay, let's get back into this.

[00:47:27] We were going to do the both of the score, the first half

[00:47:30] goals.

[00:47:31] I have so much data in front of me that I'm losing my mind.

[00:47:34] I'm so excited to get this shit back together.

[00:47:36] We've been off for so long, dude.

[00:47:37] It feels like we've been.

[00:47:39] I know.

[00:47:40] And I want to say it's my fault, but it is health related.

[00:47:43] So I don't know that too, but I'm saying soccer.

[00:47:46] I mean, if you were going to have some problems, you picked the

[00:47:50] right time.

[00:47:51] International break.

[00:47:53] Hey, body, can you stop fucking up until an international

[00:47:56] break?

[00:47:57] Just give me a little bit of time.

[00:47:58] Hey, if you're going to, if you're going to, if you're

[00:47:59] going to borderline die, do it.

[00:48:01] Do it then.

[00:48:02] Can you make it so I don't miss any soccer break during

[00:48:05] international break so we can go to your funeral and not

[00:48:07] feel bad about it.

[00:48:08] Exactly, dude.

[00:48:09] You nailed it.

[00:48:11] That's my body is doing the opposite.

[00:48:13] Okay.

[00:48:14] One and a half.

[00:48:15] So this is the over one and a half between

[00:48:20] Philadelphia Union in Minnesota United, 100%.

[00:48:24] Austin FC Dallas, 100%.

[00:48:27] Guess what other two games are?

[00:48:28] 100%

[00:48:30] for over one and a half.

[00:48:31] Yeah.

[00:48:33] LA Galaxy, Seattle Sounders.

[00:48:34] That's the one and one more.

[00:48:37] Inter Miami NYC FC FC.

[00:48:39] No, it is the Real Salt Lake St. Louis.

[00:48:41] So three of the four, yeah, three of the four first half

[00:48:44] scores are over one and a half, which makes a ton of

[00:48:46] sense if you score early, you score often.

[00:48:48] So they're having rips and cleaning them up.

[00:48:51] We could take both teams to score.

[00:48:53] Oh, sorry.

[00:48:54] This is one and a half.

[00:48:55] Philly, Austin, Salt Lake, LA Galaxy.

[00:48:58] That one feels like a no brainer.

[00:49:00] It might be pretty expensive, but let's go take a peak

[00:49:02] and see what they cost.

[00:49:03] So I mean, it's basically the same.

[00:49:05] The teams, which I don't super love because if they

[00:49:08] don't score, it kind of hurts both bets.

[00:49:11] But the home against the Stregman Seattle right now,

[00:49:14] I feel really good about a lot of goals in that game.

[00:49:16] Yeah.

[00:49:17] So over one and a half in the Philly match is minus

[00:49:20] 650.

[00:49:21] That is obviously steep, but we're going to pair that

[00:49:25] with the battle of who gives a shit in Texas.

[00:49:30] Listen, listen as much as, as much as we shit on the owner

[00:49:34] for Austin F.C. and their pre-court go fuck yourself.

[00:49:37] We are, we are fans one of their branding.

[00:49:39] Oh yeah.

[00:49:40] Great support in the city.

[00:49:42] Great.

[00:49:43] That's a great color.

[00:49:44] So I'm happy for the fans pre-court can fuck himself.

[00:49:47] And then Dallas, we love them.

[00:49:50] We love them.

[00:49:51] We love them.

[00:49:52] We love them.

[00:49:53] We love them.

[00:49:54] We love them.

[00:49:55] We love them.

[00:49:56] And then Dallas, we love because Dallas is actually kind of

[00:50:01] like our, our, our just slightly older twin baby Dallas is our

[00:50:07] twin baby.

[00:50:08] Yeah.

[00:50:09] Dallas because they are charter member number two also one

[00:50:11] of the hunts teams.

[00:50:14] And so when the MLS started the first two teams to be

[00:50:18] entered into the MLS were the Columbus crew charter

[00:50:22] member number one and also owner of F.C.

[00:50:25] Dallas charter member number two.

[00:50:27] So we do kind of have a twin baby twin MLS babies.

[00:50:31] That's the Lamar hunt from the Lamar hunt us open trophy,

[00:50:35] which we have not competed.

[00:50:37] Did I talk about how a burrito team beat Portland to

[00:50:40] yet on the show?

[00:50:41] No.

[00:50:42] So the beauty of these things and fuck you guys for

[00:50:46] not letting us participate is anyone can have a team

[00:50:51] and enter.

[00:50:52] This is the, it's literally the open cup and there it's

[00:50:55] great to find players.

[00:50:56] It's great for competition, but you have these stories

[00:50:59] just like this is the March madness of soccer, but

[00:51:02] better, you know, you can have those golden retrievers

[00:51:05] or those, you know, Drake or not Drake.

[00:51:07] What was the one that just made it?

[00:51:09] Whatever you get it.

[00:51:10] They go on a deep run Portland.

[00:51:12] You can have air, air bud.

[00:51:14] You can have air bud.

[00:51:15] No, no, no.

[00:51:16] The team that the only 16 seed to upset a one seed,

[00:51:18] their mascot were the golden retrievers and they

[00:51:20] were like a school.

[00:51:21] I watched it in like 10 minutes from their school,

[00:51:24] not knowing that I was there.

[00:51:26] I was just traveling and I met these three guys that

[00:51:28] had graduated from there and that not recently they

[00:51:30] graduated a long time ago and they put a bunch of money

[00:51:33] on that team to win, which was never going to happen.

[00:51:36] And then they won at the bar and just the whole place

[00:51:39] was crazy and they were the golden retrievers.

[00:51:41] I thought it was really funny because they're

[00:51:42] just like dumb and don't know what happened.

[00:51:43] And then they went on a list by like 60,

[00:51:45] like they should have.

[00:51:46] So in the U S open cup or FA cup, but more so

[00:51:49] here you can get teams that come from absolute obscurity

[00:51:52] that don't exist into.

[00:51:54] Fun stories like Portland losing Portland's second tier

[00:51:58] team, Portland to lost to a team named in sponsor by

[00:52:01] Burrito shop.

[00:52:02] And I loved it.

[00:52:04] I was like, this is, this is what I live for.

[00:52:07] And yeah, it was wonderful.

[00:52:09] Back to money we've got over one and a half in Philly,

[00:52:13] Austin, Salt Lake Galaxy, L a Galaxy matchups.

[00:52:16] It is only plus 109, but that's because the probability

[00:52:20] of this happening is extremely high.

[00:52:22] So this would be what I used to call smacks in the new,

[00:52:27] in the new discord.

[00:52:29] There's one channel with just all of my place and then

[00:52:32] there's one channel called footy chat and then

[00:52:34] that's where I put in sort of collaboratory work.

[00:52:38] Is that a word?

[00:52:39] I'm making up words today.

[00:52:40] This, this would go under a weekly smack, right?

[00:52:44] This is a unit grabbing the data loves us play.

[00:52:48] So that's, I know it's four outcomes, which I tended to

[00:52:52] shy away from this would be a two unit smacker.

[00:52:56] Yeah.

[00:52:57] I like it.

[00:52:58] I like it.

[00:52:59] So I'm going to put that I'm working on putting these

[00:53:02] together.

[00:53:03] I'm a slightly overwhelmed.

[00:53:07] We had the first half goals, the 195.

[00:53:10] I want to call that a smacker.

[00:53:12] I'm going to call the 134 first class smack just because

[00:53:15] it's only two outcomes.

[00:53:17] Yeah.

[00:53:18] The plus 195 is a fucking beauty, but that's not what

[00:53:22] we're here for.

[00:53:23] Okay.

[00:53:24] Now we move on to both teams of score.

[00:53:27] The bane and the beauty of this podcast existence.

[00:53:30] We've hit some big ones.

[00:53:31] We've been fucked by Miami recently on some,

[00:53:33] some big ones.

[00:53:34] I'm not over it, but the, the four teams actually,

[00:53:40] actually I think there's more hang on before I incorrectly

[00:53:42] speak, let's change this where you have both teams to score.

[00:53:47] Do you like listening to me change my charts?

[00:53:50] Click different.

[00:53:51] I always do.

[00:53:52] Super.

[00:53:53] I feel like I think I've made a podcast that only I would

[00:53:56] be interested in because of the data and everyone else is

[00:53:58] just like, shut the fuck up and give us the picks.

[00:54:01] Okay.

[00:54:02] We hate to have four teams that have our 100%.

[00:54:04] Can you guess which teams are the both teams to score

[00:54:08] for, for, okay.

[00:54:09] So this is for this week's lineups.

[00:54:12] I'm talking 100%.

[00:54:14] It's everybody we just said, I'll save you the time.

[00:54:17] Both teams.

[00:54:18] All right.

[00:54:19] 100% in this lineup of teams, both teams to score.

[00:54:24] I'm going to say Nashville, Columbus.

[00:54:31] I'm going to say, I'm going to say Nashville,

[00:54:35] Nashville, Columbus, Vancouver, Portland,

[00:54:42] Philly, Minnesota.

[00:54:46] Oh, damn it.

[00:54:47] It's maybe, maybe the Orlando red bulls.

[00:54:50] I don't know the DC Montreal game feels like both teams

[00:54:53] scored to me.

[00:54:54] I'm trying to find the wrong button on this thing.

[00:54:56] There it is.

[00:54:57] Can you hear that?

[00:54:58] All right.

[00:54:59] They're voting for me.

[00:55:01] Okay.

[00:55:02] It's just the same, the same teams that we just said.

[00:55:04] I was expecting out of the picture,

[00:55:08] we're looking at the

[00:55:21] US and as I said, the larger group players,

[00:55:26] were there to be the goal goal,

[00:55:30] What what do you see that's the data we look at the one and a half total goals

[00:55:34] We look at the the boat team to score

[00:55:36] So if I'm gonna actually stick away from the boat team to score because then we'd have all the same

[00:55:41] Bets on all the same teams now. Yes, they would all occur if they were to if this one was to occur

[00:55:48] Everything else would occur, but I don't like that. So take a look. What do you think show me some like unexpected maybe or?

[00:55:55] Well, I'm thinking right now

[00:55:57] We might want to dip into the

[00:56:01] shots on target

[00:56:03] Area that's my favorite looking at that DC game and I'm looking at that New York Red Bulls game

[00:56:08] And I think that we're gonna be able to to find some lines there because

[00:56:13] The New York Red Bulls are playing some great fucking soccer

[00:56:17] Orlando is sort of trying to find their soccer form. They really have taken a dip early in the season

[00:56:23] But they're playing at home. Mm-hmm

[00:56:25] And so I think shots on target there

[00:56:28] We might be able to do some Lewis Morgan

[00:56:30] Money and then DC United against Montreal DC is at home

[00:56:34] We might be able to get some Christian Ben Tecay shots on target. I think that works

[00:56:40] And that Inter Miami game shots on target. It's just it makes sense

[00:56:45] They're playing at home NYCFC

[00:56:49] Not do best this season. So shots on target there

[00:56:52] So I think there's maybe some money to be made

[00:56:55] At least some more sure money. That's what I'll say. There's some sure money to be made

[00:56:59] Doing some shots on target there. All right, so Lewis Morgan to have one or more shots on target for the entirety of the game is minus

[00:57:05] 150

[00:57:07] Which is wild after having four last week in three goals

[00:57:11] And then you said what was the second one that you're looking at shots on target DC

[00:57:17] Christian Ben Tecay, of course playing at home against Montreal

[00:57:21] Yeah, I could see a two shots on target for the man. I can he is a

[00:57:25] Big Belgian man. That's what he is big big big big Belgian man. So here's here's your option here. This is where I've been really

[00:57:33] Finding some value is five minus 550 on a toe one or more shot on target

[00:57:38] For the for the entirety of the game

[00:57:39] But he comes out early in the second half often

[00:57:42] And if you take the one or more shots in the first half one or more shots on target in the first half

[00:57:47] You get him at minus 145

[00:57:50] So he's a big big. He's a big bottom big and that's what he does

[00:57:54] So we would Wolfsburg scores. There we go. They'd listen to you Rudy and they're like, you know what fuck you Rudy

[00:58:00] I'm a score goal. I like it. I know listen to me is what

[00:58:05] we call it negging in the in the in the

[00:58:08] In the sports game like when you don't believe and then you cause it to happen. It's like a reverse jinx

[00:58:15] So if you if you can negate into existence

[00:58:19] Be a negative you just did that so all of all of Bremen. Thanks. You okay, so moving on

[00:58:25] Luton still one nil 19 minutes in it's fucking wild

[00:58:29] So we have Lewis Morgan one or more on target then tech a one or more target the first half

[00:58:34] Are we okay with the first half or do we want to take that 550? Yeah? No, I like that

[00:58:38] I like that first half. I like them at home

[00:58:41] Coming out strong exactly what

[00:58:45] Exactly what Tottenham did

[00:58:48] What was your next shot on target that you were talking about I

[00:58:52] Think we could do some inter Miami action. I know they have

[00:58:57] Drillist but they're playing at home

[00:59:01] They they still have a lot of offensive players that are still doing okay

[00:59:04] I know we know Messi is out

[00:59:05] But everybody else for the most part that makes a difference offensively is there and they have had two weeks of rest a lot of them

[00:59:14] so this is gonna be

[00:59:16] This is gonna be a shot fest I'm thinking against NYC FC. They're probably gonna you know try to play some boring soccer

[00:59:25] And my CFC so they're gonna try to absorb that pressure. I just don't think they're good enough to absorb it

[00:59:29] I really don't I think shots on target are gonna come furious and they're gonna come fast

[00:59:34] and they're gonna come in the first half and

[00:59:36] Also late in the second half

[00:59:39] So that's my prediction for that for that game

[00:59:42] But I'm seeing definitely some some shots on target from Luis Suarez

[00:59:47] Because I think he starts

[00:59:50] Hilarious that Messi is still on the fucking books. He Messi is the most

[00:59:55] Favored person to have a shot on target in the first half or to have a shot on target and he has been ruled out like

[01:00:00] He's in there's laying. Yeah, they have a huge list of people out, but here's what they do have in dress. What's that?

[01:00:08] Yeah, you won't even be dressed. He's not even coming. He's not even in

[01:00:12] His fans just make it shut up. Okay, so here's we're gonna get into this on Twitter and in the discord

[01:00:18] But Robert Taylor compana Suarez combo the most deadly in MLS

[01:00:24] Most equally distributed what's that? Yeah unless Messi's flying

[01:00:28] Yeah, but they can be even without him. I think last week was a fluke

[01:00:31] I'm going right back to that. Well, we're gonna hit some of the first half stuff

[01:00:34] But yeah, we throw Louis Morgan Christian Benteke if we take do you want to take?

[01:00:40] Suarez is minus 460 for the game one or more shots in the first half. He is

[01:00:45] 750 one of our short shots on target. He's minus 125. I'm gonna take the first half at minus 125

[01:00:52] Yeah, yeah, I think so, you know what also might be sneaky and I'm just gonna throw this out there right now to you

[01:00:58] Okay

[01:00:58] Yeah, if we can get if we can get a bet on Luis Suarez to score or assist

[01:01:04] That's really really nice right now because he's scored four goals. He's assisted three times

[01:01:10] But it but he's had even the assist to the assist

[01:01:14] I don't know what they call that stat these days, but there's a hockey assist called critical pass or something like that

[01:01:19] He also has a few of those so

[01:01:23] That's what I'm looking at if that is an available line minus one or two or assist

[01:01:29] Minus 140 I'd smack it. Yeah, I'd smack that I'd smack I wonder if I can combine that with the shots you can oh

[01:01:36] That's a good one. I like that. How about this buddy? I'm I just fell in love

[01:01:41] We got Luis Suarez one or more shot on target in first half

[01:01:45] We could change that to one or more shots on target. Hang on. Let me do that real quick

[01:01:50] Yes, that'll buy us a ton of room. Let me see if the if the odds are in our favor

[01:01:56] So he's minus 460

[01:01:58] Okay, so it takes us to 426 if he hits that shot on target in the first half. I'm gonna be so sad

[01:02:04] You know, he's gonna have a shot now. We're going with the gut. Let's go back one more shots on target in the first half

[01:02:10] I like it. Okay when you get that one or more shot. No

[01:02:15] One more shots on target in first half Luis Suarez. Okay, this is where we're at

[01:02:19] Remember I try to get it to six six ninety

[01:02:22] This is to score or assist one or more shot on target in first half

[01:02:27] Luis Morgan one or more shot on target full game the tech a one or more shot on target first half

[01:02:32] And then we have to add in our boy because it's plus six fifty eight for that. But watch this we got a kucho

[01:02:40] The greatest player in major league soccer

[01:02:45] One or more shots on target is minus

[01:02:48] 900

[01:02:49] One or more shots on target in the first half

[01:02:53] 1200 well one more shots on target in the first half is still minus 185 if you take that it gets to over a thousand

[01:03:01] Let's just do his shot on target for the full game

[01:03:04] 742

[01:03:05] Oh, so close here one one or one or more shots in the first half that'll probably do it

[01:03:13] One or more shots in first half minus 1300 716 bro damn

[01:03:19] Hey, oh kucho to score assist

[01:03:23] I love again, you're if you've made it this far you're an hour into us reading screens that you can't see

[01:03:29] wild

[01:03:31] There's just no way anybody's still listening

[01:03:33] Here's the thing about

[01:03:36] kucho to score assist I

[01:03:40] One of the things that kucho has demonstrated his maturity at

[01:03:45] is his

[01:03:47] ability in going away from home to be a distributor and

[01:03:52] Not not just to be dangerous in front of goal, but also

[01:03:56] His his keen eye to make those key passes because he knows when he goes you when he goes into enemy territory

[01:04:04] The team's gonna be up for it the fans are gonna be up for it

[01:04:07] And he does he does sort of take that that that sort of leadership role as a distributor more than just the dangerous one

[01:04:16] scoring goals and so

[01:04:18] I'm looking more for him to have a couple of assists maybe yeah in game against Nashville

[01:04:25] But he's gonna shoot and he's gonna shoot on target for sure

[01:04:29] They're so far in the first half of this game

[01:04:34] To Tottenham has one shot on target and it is not from any of our guys are not taught them

[01:04:39] Yeah, Tottenham has one shot on target. I came find who had the shot

[01:04:42] I was pepper sorry damn it. Okay, so moving on

[01:04:46] This one that I just built

[01:04:48] little party

[01:04:50] Little fun to end the the podcast Luis Suarez to score assist and have a shot on target first half

[01:04:57] Louis Morgan one more shots on target been tech a first half shot on target kucho one or more shot on target

[01:05:03] Full game the minus 900 we've got plus 742 so it's a little bit a little bit longer than 69

[01:05:11] But that's a party so plus 742 I'm smack the fuck out of that

[01:05:14] I'm putting unit on it because I believe in it not telling you you should do listen to your harp

[01:05:18] Well, so some of the favorite players of the day Luis Suarez straight to score or assist

[01:05:24] That's minus 140 kucho to score assist minus 130

[01:05:27] I will be combining those two because those are the two most electric players right now scoring and assisting touching the ball in

[01:05:33] MLS three without a doubt and then we gave you those

[01:05:38] over one and a half's

[01:05:39] over first half goals and

[01:05:42] That's a lot. I think we're ready to smack the fuck out of today

[01:05:45] I'm gonna go watch the second half of Tottenham

[01:05:48] To watch the collapse that I'm now rooting for so son could come to the second

[01:05:53] Come to the United States, and then we can steal him from LA. Oh

[01:05:58] Well, I would love I would love if kucho and sunny were partnered together

[01:06:08] Fucking thing in the world. I could never leave. All right. Well, it's been long and painful

[01:06:12] But hopefully profitable so

[01:06:15] Go join the discord send me a fucking DM so I can give you 30 days for free

[01:06:20] I would let you try it out win some money, and then we'll make you sign contract to stay forever

[01:06:25] Where we get your soul so sounds pretty good

[01:06:28] Goodbye