Week 3 Recap and we SMACKED some bets
Under ConstructionMarch 11, 2024x
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44:2260.93 MB

Week 3 Recap and we SMACKED some bets

what a week! enjoy

[00:00:00] 2. What is going on? What is happening here? I can't get it. Wait. Welcome to the late... Oh, I cut you off again. Welcome to the late episode of the Under Construction podcast, but we won a whole bunch of soccer

[00:00:14] and so we had to take an extra day to celebrate, right Rudy? Let's go with that. Let's see how let's go with that. The crew remain undefeated at home. We now share a tie for the first place in all of American soccer, which is pretty fucking sweet.

[00:00:29] Well, we... Yeah, sort of. We're not in first place. I don't think we deserve to be in first place. We have seven points. That's fine. Isn't that tied for like seven places? The top five teams. The top five teams have seven points.

[00:00:46] We're in the top seven right now, but we all share the same amount of points. Well, we are ahead of Miami if you look at it because Miami has a game. We have a game in hand so does everyone. Top seven clubs on the Eastern Conference.

[00:01:00] Miami, Montreal who showed the fuck up. That was awesome. Us, the Columbus crew. Great soccer team to ever wear yellow. The New York Red Bulls at number four, which way too early to get cocky, but that was my prediction. Top five for them. Four feels great.

[00:01:16] Toronto at number five, bit of surprise. Then you got DC and SINSEY rounding up the top seven. Is SINSEY good at soccer anymore? We were sort of talking with those on the discord about that last time that we did a live pod.

[00:01:36] I'm not sure that SINSEY is going to have teeth this year. I think Brandon Vasquez was not just somebody scoring goals for them. I liken it sort of to this. When Kucho was on the field, teams are not just scared.

[00:01:58] They're not just scared that he's going to score goals. They're scared that he's going to disrupt the six yard box. They're scared that he is going to get too close. And because of that, he's able to pull defenders really kind of

[00:02:14] like when he's not in position to score, but he's going to pull defenders because they're like, oh, it's Brandon Vasquez. They don't have that anymore. I don't think teams are even scared of FC Cincinnati. Have you noticed this? They're getting played.

[00:02:26] Not like they're the former supporter shield winners. They're getting played like a mid table to lower table team. They are. And this is not just shitting on SINSEY for the sake of SINSEY. We want SINSEY to be good unlike...

[00:02:39] We talked about this on this podcast so many times. You want your rivals to be incredible that way when you beat them, you're beating the best team, not what they're showing. But speaking of SINSEY last episode, we did have a... Did I give out the Vasquez pick?

[00:02:53] I think we talked about that on the last episode, and I was reminded of that. And then we hit that plus 240. We had a killer day yesterday. It's about time that we had been getting a bit unlucky in soccer. This week was back to normal,

[00:03:09] but we did have a Henestrosa goal worked in there at like plus four something and he came off what, 40, 50, 50th minute, something like that early. And then Russell Royal came on and did what he did. So we picked the wrong goal scorer there.

[00:03:25] We did hit Kampana in the Miami game, which obviously was always going to happen. We dropped that a little bit before that game, which felt good. So two out of three for any time goal scorer so far this year at plus 210 or plus 260

[00:03:39] and then plus 210 or not bad. Would like Henestrosa, but as a crew fan watching Russell Royal find the back, the net felt real nice. It did. We've been talking about his struggles and his struggles have not been, they've not been being in the right place.

[00:03:56] They have not been making the right runs. That hasn't been his mistakes. The things that are hard to coach, he's been executing well. It's that last, you know, really kind of like half inch on the ball that really makes a difference that he's needed to correct.

[00:04:12] This one was sick. If you watch the replays of this shot and his other shot where he was in the same spot but went to the other side of the goal, the knuckle that he puts on these balls is incredible. It's beautiful, which means to me,

[00:04:29] even if the goalkeeper gets the right direction and moves to it, low chance that they're going to be able to stop it. The knuckle that he has been putting on the balls from that angle are really impressive and we've got three of those exact shots.

[00:04:42] So this is kind of a, this is a from the training ground when they break away, where is Jason Russell Rowe kind of thing? This is not happenstance that he's been in the same spot doing the same shot that well. This is something that they work on.

[00:04:58] And he finally got that execution well. I even thought the second shot that he did later on in the game where he shot to the left side of the goal. I thought that was excellent as well. His positioning was good too.

[00:05:11] So really, really well deserved man of the match for him. And happy to see a J R R on the score sheet. Yeah, you love it. And then that late goal from Mo Farsi for him to break through felt really good. Patrick Schulte, he's standing on his head

[00:05:26] and then in Minnesota Montreal too. Goal score over there. A lot of goals coming from crew two players from prior season size, a lot of fun. So, and then just talking about the podcast picks and the straight bets. We obviously had the crew team total

[00:05:43] and the over one and a half in two separate plays. The two units Mac was the crew game, the match with since he over one and a half, which ended up being a two one all in the second half, which is wild.

[00:05:53] And then Miami team total over two, which they covered as well. And then we did the plus 126, which was crew team total Miami team total. And then yesterday during the discord, we had the man city Liverpool both in the score. And then we had in the Bundesliga,

[00:06:13] we had the over half to first half goals, the plus 139. Then we had a plus or minus 119. I've been messing with corners a lot Rudy. And I got pretty locked in one game didn't hit. It had six. We needed seven and they had two red cards,

[00:06:29] five first half corners and then two red cards and then no more corners. They didn't have a corner until stoppage time. So that was unfortunate, but everything else hit. We had the man city over one and a half.

[00:06:41] And then we had seven and a half corners in that game and a couple of totals, the minus 119. I can, I'm not going to read through all of them. We had a minus 119, 126 plus 139, the minus 137, which actually moved to minus 126, the two unit.

[00:06:55] We had the plus 210 on the Campana goal score. And then I just, I tried out some shots. Once I found out the messy and Suarez, we're not going to start. We did Robert Taylor and Campana to have a shot in the first half.

[00:07:09] Didn't matter if it was on target and then one shot on target, each which both of them obviously covered. They had more than one, but they covered that in the first half. So a plus 135 and plus 132, both those hit. That was a lot of fun.

[00:07:21] The 720 you got to love when it's first half too, because that just allows you to just enjoy the rest of exactly. And Campana got it pretty late in the first half like probably like the 38th minute or something like that. And it was just a little blooper too.

[00:07:34] It wasn't even like a hard shot on target, but it counts. The one that missed though, we got both teams to score in every game. There's four games that both teams scored the 720. It did not happen since he and DC, I just couldn't get done.

[00:07:47] Every other game was fine. And the thing that irks me the most is that I swapped out crew Chicago both teams to score. Cause I was like, don't put the crew into this play because you've already got them in other plays.

[00:07:57] And obviously since he or Chicago did score a goal. So that hurt, but it's a long shot. When you go one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, seven out of eight on those funny plays. I'm okay with that outcome.

[00:08:10] We missed an NBA play yesterday and we hit two. The NBA has been real fucking weird lately. So we've been, I've been laying off it a little bit, finding just finding deeper cuts in soccer. And we're going to focus,

[00:08:22] we're just going to continue to focus on what works. And that's the footy. Yep. Yep. It's working. So our bets are winning. So tell your friends about that one, jump in and be a premium member in the discord.

[00:08:35] And you get those bets laid out for you either in smack or 69er. And both are worth putting your money on because we are plus some money for you on the year. So you are not in the paid premium. Yeah. Come on in there.

[00:08:54] It's actually really cheap too. It's a very affordable way to earn some money on your stocks, AKA sports betting. Yes. And Rudy to clear it up a little bit. So people are asking for a little bit more clarity in the discord.

[00:09:10] The smacks and the 69ers are going to be the must plays. I think we're going to drop all of our podcast picks because like the extra stuff, you know, like the plus seven twenties and stuff, those aren't tracked the same way.

[00:09:20] So like the system will say what we're up and that's just the system bets. The extra things are on top of that. So I'm not counting those wins towards that unit total. So there's a lot of extra there.

[00:09:32] Like if you hit the two, if you hit that seven twenty, you would have made 7.2 times your money, but that wouldn't be tracked in the total. So for up three units on the month, for example, those hits aren't included or the risk freeze,

[00:09:42] but podcast picks will handle everything that we talk about on here soccer related. We'll put those in there and then the smacks will go into smacks, which are the must bets. So for example, the crew in the sensei play

[00:09:54] or this shit crew Miami plays when they're in there. And then the rest of them are in the opportunity to tail if you want to. And then some of the live bets will come out. So turn the notifications on that way.

[00:10:06] You don't miss stuff and try to make it as easy as possible. There's links in there to copy the bets. You just hit one button and you can you tell it, but as lines change, as people move in and out of lineups

[00:10:14] and like, for example, component getting the start, they still had messy as the most favored first goal score and he didn't even fucking like he didn't even suit up. So these books are not paying attention to stuff like soccer.

[00:10:25] And that's why that's why we're able to find some of these deeper lines, like the Robert Taylor component shots on target at plus money for things that are first half smackers. So the cruise good soccer. I was going to talk about this. That's a lot of good news.

[00:10:40] It's a lot of good news to start the bond with. It's a lot of good news. Yeah, we had a pretty good day. I need I'm like a day or two behind on the recap. So I'm going to get those fixed today.

[00:10:48] It's weird because I'll give out a pick for Saturday on Thursday. And then I'm like, do I do I track that on? You know, I mean, it doesn't matter who gets a shit. Why are you listening to this? You're like, tell me what you want.

[00:10:58] So that's the East. I really enjoyed our intro yet again. Remember last episode I talked about they did the piano intro and it was like real epic. This one was epic as well. And I was sitting there thinking the Giants,

[00:11:08] my football team just got rid of Seguin Barclay and went to the Eagles, which is like Joe Burrow going to the fucking what's that team up North? And then that's what happened to my favorite running back. And that hurts.

[00:11:23] But on the flip side of that, I was at the game and was watching and was like, we need to savor this because when we're good, it can go away so fast and for so long. So I just enjoyed the intro to the game.

[00:11:33] And then that is where the joy stopped because and Joe won't mind if I tell the story. We decided, Joe decided to try to bring his two, his four year old and six year old to the game.

[00:11:42] Mind you, there was a lot of other children at the game. And I'm not sure if they just had bad times or not in front of us. But the second we got to the stadium, his kids decided I'm disinterested in this entire experience and it was cold.

[00:11:54] I'll give them that. But we made it to 20 minutes or so before I want to go home. We got some chicken nuggets, chicken nuggets weren't good enough. Some of the snacks weren't working. And we ended up leaving before half time.

[00:12:09] And I still have not seen a crew home goal in person this season. So I told Joel after we got home, I was like, if I have to not watch the games in person in order for us to win every game, like I'll take, I'll bite that bullet.

[00:12:22] But he's, he's not on the same and it's about him. I don't know. Maybe a mile. How far do you think it is a walk from? Yeah, right. I just need to skip all the games. Your place is just over a mile. Okay. So but like 1.1 maybe.

[00:12:35] So we're walking with the two kids. And as soon as we get out of the stadium, he decides he has to pee. Which we had just passed, you know, many bathrooms. And the other one just starts screaming at the top of his lungs and crying,

[00:12:46] I don't want to walk just over and over again on repeat. So as we're walking on the street, I don't want to walk. But he wants to go home. So Joel's trying to reason with him and let him know.

[00:12:55] Like if you want to go home, we have this how we do it. So after that, as his son's going to pee his pants. So we go into the woods. We find some woods for him to pee in.

[00:13:04] And he goes in and pulls his pants all the way down like a little kid does. And goes, I don't think you're supposed to do this. And I'm like now, now you have morals about peeing outside. I don't know if you know it.

[00:13:12] His kids for a while had like a P corner in their yard. And they were just like, this is where you pee. Somewhere between D4. Hey, nice. Yeah. You know, I was about having a designated P corner. Can I just put pause on this story?

[00:13:25] We know where you're at in the store. Yeah, it's not great. I had, I had growing up, we, um, we had this corner house. There was an alley behind our house, like a, like a gravel alley.

[00:13:38] And it ran for, you know, in between the houses for, for several streets. Um, and that's where the, the garbage trucks would come. They would come down the alley and then they would grab garbage trucks. And it was before everything was like green, whatever this was like back

[00:13:54] when it was like tin garbage cans with a, you know, like a stomp. Like that shit. Those actual garbage cans for our actual garbage. And, um, I always, there was this great spot to pee in the back of the alley.

[00:14:08] And so me and my neighbor friends, we would always just go. That's like where it was like our designated P spot. Um, until the old lady across the alley came and approached the children's mothers knocked on the doors of the homes and said,

[00:14:27] your boys are being indecent and urinating. And, and if, and if it continues, she's going to call the authorities. Oh no. So I just want to say give the kids a corner. Every kid should have a corner. Everyone should be able to pee outside.

[00:14:45] And this includes ladies too. Everyone should have a P corner. I love that. That's my son. Um, Fandall just offered a deposit bonus. So if you're listening and you have Fandall, give it a little check, see if it's in there. It's 50% deposit bonus. Love that.

[00:15:00] Um, to finish the story, we left maybe 30 minutes in and, uh, No, it's very 35 minutes. Whatever. Doesn't matter. First half. And I'm not blaming Joel for this week. We kind of knew what was going to happen. Um, it was just kind of like let's test it.

[00:15:14] And we found one of those little carts. They have these cars that are like little bikes connected to like, what are those things called? Yeah. Everyone deserves a corner to pee in. So it's all quote. Um, what are those little things called?

[00:15:25] Like the little bike messenger guys with the little carts, whatever. And we paid them 20 bucks to take us like two blocks just so the kids would shut up. And then I watched the two goals at home. We won the game and I was fine with it, you know,

[00:15:35] so as long as that's the outcome, it's going to be expensive season tickets for me to not watch very expensive for you to not go. But I'd pay my season ticket price every season. Yeah. That meant that we want a cup like just to win every single year.

[00:15:51] I'm no problem with that whatsoever. I figure out what's going on. I'll be down with that real quick. We haven't talked about the West at all. Are we being too biased on the East? Nobody gives a shit. Well, I just want to, I want to,

[00:16:01] I want to just highlight a couple of things. It was a good weekend for soccer, a lot of goals. Yeah, we got which we said there's gonna be goals. We said that was going to warm up. We said it's going to ramp up.

[00:16:10] It's doing exactly what we said at United, wake up and our man. Dude, Yaka Maki's went the fuck off. Yaka Maki's. I mean he. It was like, it was like he read Caleb Porter's playbook and said, Oh, I know exactly what he's going to do.

[00:16:29] He was unstoppable that game. Absolutely fantastic play. And I mean, I'm not, it was phenomenal. It was a great game for Atlanta. Good in front of their home fans. Good to get everyone ramped back up. I like when Atlanta plays well. And so that was a fantastic game.

[00:16:46] He had a hat trick. I predicted he's going to be the golden boot winner. He is making me look good right now based on that performance against New England. Man, Caleb Porter struggling at the beginning of this season.

[00:16:58] Having had it in the struggle bus in the bottom of the table. I do not think he's going to stay there, but that was an exciting game. Portland timbers put to pass in YCFC FC. Is Portland is Portland redeeming themselves to you?

[00:17:13] You used to be a fan, a fan favorite, you know, a farewell, you know, sort of distant fan of Portland. How do you like in them right now? I am impressed the West, the top of the West is scoring goals. And I love that.

[00:17:27] We had, we had a Rick pig to score assist. That was a nice little plus two 10. Then I snuck in there for me. So good. And he actually scored twice. One of them was called off and they still two two. So the top three teams in the West,

[00:17:43] Portland, Minnesota LA Galaxy. Not what we foresaw specifically, but eight goals, six goals, six goals. Portland's doing work, dude. There's four or five players and I'm less right now with three more goals, five players with three or more. Pookie. That was another one.

[00:17:58] I had a anytime goal score for Pookie. And I was because I was like, he's overdue and his two goals was like plus 1800. He did that in the first half. Louis Morgan's finally showing up been 10 K with his three.

[00:18:10] So two of these guys did three in one game. Yackamaki's been been techie, but Messi has three in two games. Yolovic out of LA is really showing up. He's got three goals and then Anthony out of Portland, like you're talking about. So Portland has been putting in work.

[00:18:27] They have been a lot of fun to play. I hope they keep it up, dude, because their stadium is one of the most fun to watch games inside of and on television. It's pretty pretty. St. Louis at number four, Vancouver at number five.

[00:18:39] We all sought like six Colorado number seven in the playoffs currently, if it were to end today, they would be in the playoffs. Not a plan. LAFC number eight is LAFC broken. You asked this every time they don't win. You ask it every single time are they,

[00:19:00] but you asked it the season that they won. We need an answer. You asked it last year when they got all the way to like nine cups, you always keep asking, no, they're not dead. They're excellent. This will turn around. They are missing in my opinion.

[00:19:18] They are missing the, the fury and aggressiveness of Kelly and Acosta. I think that's their biggest miss right now in the midfield outside of obviously their talisman Carlos Vela. They're missing Kelly and Acosta. I think they could use him without having Vela right now.

[00:19:34] I think that's the, that would be something that, that they would say, oh, I regret losing him. I think that they played well against us. I think Chicago played well. I actually think that their biggest problem was Shaqiri giving the ball away too many times, including several

[00:19:50] opportunities that turned for shots on goal for us. So Shaqiri needs to get his shit together. His assist, by the way, it was not offside. This is an unpopular opinion with crew fans who were at the game, but what they did not see is that Marrera was

[00:20:07] holding them on side. Yeah. So it was a good pass from fury. It was an assist to the assist. It was a good goal. I don't even really think I would have done anything differently defensively there. I think we were okay. He just happened to be onside.

[00:20:27] It was Marrera, a half step behind of getting in line with his own men. Still good defensive around for us. Even though we had a goal slip past us, I feel like we had a good defense. Good day for the crew. Good soccer.

[00:20:43] Couple of shocks still, I think on both ends of the table. I think at the bottom of the table on both the east and west, I have some surprises there. Obviously seeing Orlando and Philly down in the bottom half in New England Revolution. Those are shocks to me.

[00:21:00] And then in the west, I think having Houston and Seattle at the bottom there is the biggest shocks there. Anything else you're surprised by? In Seattle being so bad. I'm a little bit surprised by that. But, hey, I'm trying to find all the numbers because our

[00:21:19] both teams score in total goals for the league just rebounded so much in the other direction. I just don't have all my shit dialed in. But back to what you're saying about the midfield and Shaqiri, we were prone to that as well.

[00:21:32] The midfield play in our game, if I had to pick up an area which it was lacking just from pure form, effectiveness, entertainment, everything, the midfield was really, really sloppy. So many turnovers, so many giveaways. Pretty poor buildup just all around. We got the result we wanted.

[00:21:48] I'm not like shitting on the team, but I watched Man City play Liverpool a couple of hours afterwards. And I was just like, Jesus Christ, dude. I think I even texted our group. I was like, not to like shit on the MLS,

[00:21:59] but watching the midfield play, like the balls that they were sending that were successful in the frequency in which they were doing that. Obviously when you have people like that on the field, it's insane. Like when Kevin De Bruyne is just like a guy out

[00:22:12] there, but the shit he's doing mixed with everybody else, even what's his name? Foden had a, he controlled the ball a lot more in that game. I'd like to see, Matan was missed is what I'm saying. Matan and Foden feel to me.

[00:22:26] I was going to say, yeah, that's where we're headed there. Matan was missed. Yeah. And I would like to see more Christian Ramirez. I watched him in warmups. Fuck it. I was like talking to the little dude and I was like, see that guy out there?

[00:22:37] I was like, he's really good. And he's like, yeah, I was like, watch this. His first rip in warmups just outside the box top right corner side of the net. And they were like, whoa, like the little kids were like so super soaking.

[00:22:47] And I was like, he's ready to go. And I was just about to bet on him. And his line was not available because he didn't play. I would have liked to see some of that. We got the result, but that midfield play felt rushed and black.

[00:23:01] It was a little bit rushed. And I don't actually want to give Chicago as much credit on that. I think that we were just off a little bit. It felt like, and I don't know, maybe Chicago was doing something to disrupt them that I was missing.

[00:23:16] But it just looked a little too rushed. Now they were playing pretty aggressive on us and I would say that they were trying to do what Liverpool does to Man City in that way, that they're trying to rush us on the ball because we want the ball.

[00:23:30] We want control. We want to we want possession. And the only way to disrupt that is to get in your face really quickly. And so they did a little bit of that. But to your point, there was there was a lack of clarity in the midfield.

[00:23:44] I actually didn't know who was running the midfield. Normally I know Nagby is running the midfield. It's clear to that. Normally I know that Aiden Morris is running the defense in midfield, which he did. He had a couple of errant passes.

[00:23:59] But can we just say that Aiden Morris was once again... Now this is two games in a row only a few days apart. He's playing 90 minutes, 90 minutes, 90 minutes. All three of those games only a few days apart. The fury at which he gets around the

[00:24:16] field, he makes up for almost any mistake that he ever makes. And that's save at the end. Oh, that's what's going to bring up on the line, on the line making that save. That kept us... That should have been equalizer. That's what got us the point. Two saves.

[00:24:36] Two saves. Put the foot out blocked it turned got a second deflection second block. Aiden Morris there's a guy called Josh Hart. He plays for the Knicks if you're a big NBA fan. He's got a lot of time and he's like he's playing 90 minutes and he's not

[00:24:51] a big scorer. He'll have his scores from time to time, but Aiden Morris feels kind of like the Josh Hart of our team. He's just always out there and always doing what it needs to. Josh Hart isn't the tallest, but he'll get like 55 rebounds a game.

[00:25:06] Exactly that number. And then he'll score six points games. He'll have 20. Most of the time he scores like eight points, but I have like 15 rebounds and assists. He's played several games for so far. They pulled them off, obviously, but like is there any sort of

[00:25:23] lingering something there that may have maybe hindering him? I here's here's my here's my fear. OK, my fear is that this is actually maybe the first time that we see his age maybe catching up. He played several games back to back. He's starting to get you got

[00:25:42] subbed out early this time. But I think we're just we're just seeing the legs there. Is what I'm I'm guessing. And so you when it's front loaded like this and we've got extra games and extra tournaments like this. These are the times where you

[00:25:59] need to in my opinion, what I think should have happened is I think maybe at halftime Matan should have come in and given Nagby arrest or start Matan and have Nagby come in in the second half to to sort of run point as captain on the field.

[00:26:18] So for me, this was maybe a substitution problem from Nancy Hill walk away and say, you know, we got the win and that's hard to argue with. But how we won was more of a grind more than it was pure display of, you know, outclassing them or

[00:26:36] out, you know, using tactics to outdo them. So this is something that I hope we won't see much more of Tim because this is the issue. We got our two goals at home. We got a win at home. We have been unbeaten in 17 straight home matches, 14

[00:26:53] wins, three draws in the last 17 at home as you were talking. I was going to build a live play because the Chelsea Newcastle game. I forgot to put that out. And as you were talking, they scored the second goal. It's one one the first half.

[00:27:10] I think that's what's due. So I had to meet somebody, but I can I got an extra 30 minutes. Oh, nice. I wanted to say this. This is what I this is what this is one thing I wanted to bring up just about this last thing about

[00:27:26] the crew game that we've talked about for years. And we saw an uptick when Cuccio came and then even a little more with Rossi. This year, our shots from outside the box have probably tripled. I don't I don't have like those numbers will have to look those up

[00:27:44] but our shots from outside box have tripled Jason Russell row Christian Ramirez, Aiden Morris Nagby doesn't shoot too much, but when he does it's usually from outside the box and Cuccio and Rossi all of them all of them taking lots of shots from outside the box, which is

[00:28:04] something that the crew was not known for even during the Caleb Porter years even when we won M less cup under him Zella Rayon was known for doing that and that's it that was the only person known for shooting from outside the box. Maybe Pedro Santos

[00:28:18] maybe give him a little bit of a shout out there for that but even after Lucas came not a lot of those this is a different style of play for us and this is the kind of play that I've wanted to see I've wanted to see shooters

[00:28:32] I want to see shooters because as Tim has made this phrase famous have a rip clean it up and that's what we are that's what we're finally doing and this has been exciting to watch if you look at the stats if you just

[00:28:46] if you get on FAT mob it's the best frickin soccer app if you're a soccer fan Harrison I know you're a FAT mob van he's in the discord right now we got some others in discord if you don't look at just the shots

[00:29:00] from outside the goal absolutely fantastic from the Columbus crew we are becoming the team we wanted to beat him I do agree man and it's really fun that's why I said I need to enjoy it as long as it lasts yeah

[00:29:14] I want to put something together last thing I do have to run but I'm looking at it's too early to look at this this weekend there's some look ahead like Miami playing DC that's a weird matchup but we've got some stuff in here

[00:29:26] that we play the Red Bulls at home a lot of fun but look at Houston and Portland dude if I've ever seen a two and a half Portland is here I was just looking at two and a half stats let me hit you with a little

[00:29:44] oh wait is that Portland hang on am I looking at the wrong game the next game the Portland we play on Tuesday I was going to talk about that in a second I'm looking at Houston Dynamo Portland they're coming up on Saturday

[00:29:58] that's the one I'm looking forward to for some goals but what I want to talk about is the second leg of fucking conca cap conca there is we've brought one goal with us which is nice exactly so the one and a half in that game is minus 390

[00:30:16] and it's at home the crew scores at home if they're going to have any chance of advancing they're going to be pressing the whole time so this feels this feels like a three goal game a one-one draw in this game gives us the win on the aggregate correct

[00:30:34] so we come in a little ahead of time but I think we're going to try to score I think there is a world where we give up a goal to them and need to score a second but I'm going real safe here since these are the knockout legs

[00:30:46] yeah this is knockout I'd go the safe route but you're right this is probably a btts but I don't think you have to go there I think you can ensure your bet and then there is a

[00:31:00] which is a little bit weird on this one they have the double chance the double chance only so draw no bet is something that we've talked about on the show before that is if you bet on a team to win and the game

[00:31:10] ends in a draw it is a wash it's just like a push and then if you take the double chance you could choose the outcomes in twos so the crew or draw right Houston or draw or you could pick a winner and no draw some of those areas

[00:31:24] it's good I like them we can combine them but in this one you look at the draw no bet it's minus 400 the double chances minus 600 and the crew just straight money line that means they must win without stoppage time is minus 150 that's

[00:31:36] what feels a little weird to me the numbers are placed as a 1 nil home win that's how they're the odds are telling me that's what they're expecting it's minus 390 for a one and a half game the crew is normally between minus 650

[00:31:52] and minus 900 for a one and a half especially at home so I think the one and a half is probably the best value I just need to find one more game in this March 12 slate we have tea grace in Orlando and then we have Philly

[00:32:04] and Pachu Pachuca so you say I don't even know they're out of see we say so many names so incorrectly for that's kind of stress this old team exactly Pachu we call him the old Pachuques the Pachuques but I'm saying we say so many names so incorrectly for

[00:32:22] out of jest that when they get the real name I'm like actually don't know how to say it anymore actually I'm actually unsure I call Leon dry saddle out of the NHL Dradel and I think I told the story last season with my

[00:32:34] buddy who hated it the whole time I did it so I always called him Dradel Dradel Dradel and then now I would refer to him and be like two shots on goal from Dradel and people are like who are you talking about

[00:32:42] and I'm like oh shit I gotta give you the right one what a terrible show so my point is Philly Philly playing I'm gonna pull up this conch here Philly playing Pachuca is my is my game that I'm I want your feedback on the one

[00:32:56] and a half in that game is 34% because of recent form between the two teams we don't have a lot of a lot of history mm-hmm so on the 12th we have T Grace Orlando we have Columbus crew Houston and then we have the

[00:33:12] Philly Pachuca so if I'm looking at one and a half there minus 390 in both of them I feel like the Philly game is the one that has goals what am I missing there because they're coming in right on they're at 0-0 right now on this stage mm-hmm

[00:33:26] so there this is game is this game one or game two for them no game game two and they did a nil draw so actually a single goal could pass through so somebody could score early and park the bus forever that's true yeah which which in

[00:33:42] in this round at this stage when they're trying to figure out when they're trying to figure out mls which is obviously going to be more important to them that that might be actually what they're hoping for Tim that actually might be the game plan to try to

[00:33:58] say it's really for soccer fans but if you're a coach you and I talked about this many times I talked about this with the crew doing this with Houston last year which you did not like strategically I thought it was okay to give up points to Houston

[00:34:18] you never think that that's okay I thought it was okay I'm going to go ahead and claim that I was right because we won the cup so so sometimes sometimes you can't do it but I think that that might be what we see there and that might be

[00:34:36] why those are what the lines are that makes sense I'm trying to find corners for these games I'm a little confused by some some books will give me corners and others won't it looks like I can't get one here so maybe we abandon this play because

[00:34:54] I don't like Orlando or in Philadelphia is on the road in this game too I think that could be another stinker they've played twice two full games in their history and they've scored one total goal between all both fixtures and two teams so that's not great

[00:35:10] that crowd in Mexico is going to be up for that game I do not see this going I don't see this being Philly finding their form do you think that they get I think if they score they park the bus I think if they score they score early

[00:35:26] and then they park the bus and they cross their fingers and pray to the soccer gods that that Pachuca doesn't score you know what we might look forward to you can you do me a huge favor and is club America is on

[00:35:38] they're on the second half of their yeah they're on the second half of that so they play Guadalajara they won 3-0 in the first game they're going to score in this game they've scored 100% of their head-to-head matches they're playing a team in their own league too so they're

[00:35:56] man yeah they put it in on them Jesus Christ okay so let me look at let me look at the soccer yeah they're just pouring in goals so actually this might be two different days but it'd be still in

[00:36:10] there's a Robin Hood I forgot there's a team called Robin Hood um yeah so let's see if America game props total goals their total goals is minus 700 that's not great okay we're going to abandon this I'm not going to force it

[00:36:22] I was thinking I could find something in the the Champions League just to have you know something the one and a half for the crew I like I'll try to put something together and I'll get it out I don't want to

[00:36:34] have people listen to podcasts as I try to do math but we'll find something and then we'll have a show for this next week which I'm hoping I can go 7-8 again because that feels real good when it happens tomorrow to think about this game too

[00:36:50] for the just getting since we're talking about Conker Calf the game tomorrow against Houston um we are not going to have Matan his thigh injury is worse than people thought so we're looking at April for him uh Hector Herrera who is you know the

[00:37:08] key player for Houston he is out until April because of his knee issue and they're out they don't have Carlos Herrera so man I wish I was in Columbus for this I feel like this is going to be a fun

[00:37:24] game hurry up and get back dude you got time it's not until Tuesday wait is it Tuesday yep it is well it'll be Tuesday when people listen to this yeah sorry for being late too we know we know what we did but hey

[00:37:36] we won the fucking game we won the bets everything's good Hinnestosa unfortunately that was a plus four something I wanted I really wanted to knock that one out um well it's not to have the opportunities you know he's known for his ability to dribble he said he's

[00:37:50] known for his ability to go at a player sort of Christian politic style where it's like I've got a defender in front of me I'm going to take the risk and I'm going to run to the

[00:37:58] right or left of them and I'm going to kick the ball on and try to out you know out do them out maneuver them you know trick them put the ball between their legs that sort of thing um I'm not seeing a

[00:38:06] ton of that uh I think it's that he's still learning the system so much so he's not able to express himself which is a term that uh you use in soccer that basically means the thing that you're naturally best at do that also so in addition

[00:38:22] to the tactics that we have in addition to the plan that we have in addition to the you know what we're doing you also good to express your own unique skill that you have as a player that you're really good at I'm really good at crossover

[00:38:34] I'm really good at uh you know uh heal passes whatever that is um I'm looking for it yeah I'm really looking forward to uh him understanding the the play the tactics our game plan enough so that he can begin to express himself because what I'm seeing

[00:38:52] is a reserved version of him and I know he's still learning uh but I think it's going to be a good season for him even though we haven't seen a lot of excellence I think we are going to see it I love that um I'm trying

[00:39:02] so one book has Conkacalf but not the regular ms slate the other one has the ms slate ready but no Conkacalf available I want to take the crew one and a half in the red bowl game like the crew red bowls

[00:39:14] one and a half and one and a half in the crew Houston game and combine the two of those that would be a great play but it seems as if they will not let me do that so I'm going to keep trying if I can make that

[00:39:24] work then I will I'll get it out but it seems like they're blocking all of the Conkacalf on the fandals so that doesn't make any sense why would they do that really um because fandal every once in a while I like to suck it that's that's the technical

[00:39:42] wait international Conkacalf it's not nations league it's Conkacalf champions league oh buddy I found it I found it it only took an hour and a half here we go over one and a half in both games Harrison said his fandal has it

[00:39:56] just as ahead of them why can't I combine them they won't let me combine the two games what the fuck dude uh love in the Harrison's account maybe you can get it can you combine the two Harrison were you able to combine the two

[00:40:10] Harrison's in the chat right now man imagine listening to this show just being like why am I listening to this show it's just gotta be the shittiest fucking podcast of all time the point is we did great Manchester City survived the best counter pressing maybe in the game

[00:40:30] this is maybe this is one of the last times where Pep Cordeola is going to face off against Klopp his best rival, Bosen Boundes Liga hand in the Premier League losing Klopp at the end of the season

[00:40:44] that was a great game if you didn't get to see that one there's some really really good soccer all weekend if you didn't watch Tottenham Hutzpah which I don't blame you because who the fuck wants to watch them however for nail buddy a lot of goals

[00:40:58] if you're a fan of goals and you're a fan of maybe the most polite nice and jolly person in all of sports young man's son you got to watch him score amongst leading his team to four goals this weekend which was real real nice so

[00:41:16] Tottenham making a case my friend for Champions League making a case for why they should be involved there Tim's a big fan we are crossing our fingers that we can get young man's son lined up in a crew jersey as we're hoping for get him

[00:41:30] to the U.S. I don't care what team just get them get them over here Dortmund scored about 18 goals that was fun all right cool well I will get to work and won't combine them yep they know that's the easiest money on those two games those bastards

[00:41:44] all right so I'll get to work there is Bundesliga Friday I love that there is Champions League I will get that stuff together once we get a better read these legs are just tough and it's tough on the game script is so much different in those

[00:41:58] but it is Bayern plays like Leipzig plays Kohl which is gonna that'll be a fun game we'll get some stuff out we'll get we'll get it together and maybe I Thursday will have we'll have a recap of the home game after we beat Houston at home

[00:42:14] and move on and then we'll have the preview for Red Bulls the New York Red Bulls and don't forget if you want those picks be sure and join the discard oh yeah yeah members and you can get all the picks in time

[00:42:28] to earn you that cash that's why we do the things that we do free money basically is what we're trying to do Tim when it hits but again it not all bets will hit it is a investing system I had the idea that you and Joel

[00:42:40] the other day for using the term degenerate anybody who doesn't understand gambling just throws degenerate in front of it yet people work on Wall Street all day or work on the fucking stock market anyways it is a system based on math we will not win them all

[00:42:54] we will win more than we lose that is the that is the goal sometimes it's sexy sometimes oh bet 365 is letting you combine them okay okay so yeah click the link in my twitter bio I'm going to ram ramble while I pull these up on 365 but go to 365

[00:43:10] get those two the crew Houston over one and a half get the crew and Red Bulls over one and a half that would be a beautiful little bet not the teams the total of the game both teams over one and a half

[00:43:20] that'll be the play for the podcast I love that but yeah click the link in my bio Twitter joins 25 bucks a month did you hit one one play cover your month and then yeah join the system we'll teach you how to we'll teach you the unit system

[00:43:38] how to bet not freak out every time you lose because you bet too much money on it it is a it is a system so it's a lot of fun we still do have long shots we had a plus 720 a plus 800 and a plus something that all missed

[00:43:50] very like we're going to hit those but they missed due to sincey sucking at soccer and the crew actually ruined one by not scoring the first half no goals we needed anybody to score in the first half of that game to catch the big one and

[00:44:02] they scored three in the second half so sometimes shit like that happens and you just eat it move on so yes begin to eat to move on I need to eat and move on so join it back thanks for listening to our new food podcast

[00:44:16] yeah Tim try it's called I'm hungry with Tim Trebb bye indeed