we're out to SMACK another week of MLS!
[00:00:00] I'm fine. I can't see you. I'll be there in a second. Hang on. Oh, all right. Welcome. I need to go get a drink. Well, welcome to the under construction podcast where we're
[00:00:11] about to go over week four. It's a little week preview of week four. You can take your time. If you want to go get a beverage, I can't eat a beverage. Go get it. Right
[00:00:22] now I am looking at, I'm looking at Conca cat for tonight, which this is only relevant if you are in our discord and on the live show. So come on, join in, go to the Twitter, whatever
[00:00:32] you'll figure it out and come party with us. But we are looking at the Conca cat's late tonight. We had a very good day slate. If you were in the discord, we had Liverpool just absolutely crushed for us today. We had had some stretch plays. I had three
[00:00:52] plus money plays or two plus money plays of one shot on target in the first half, two total shots in the first half. And they both covered that in about the first nine
[00:01:02] minutes. There was four goals in the first, or four goals, three goals in the first nine, four goals in the first 12. And then we had a three Rudy, I didn't send you this
[00:01:11] one, but I had a three shots in the first half from both Nunez and Silla. And Nunez had like 15 and Silla had two on target, but no other shots. And he got across
[00:01:22] with like in the 37th or 38th minute that he was like getting ready to pull the trigger on is like plus six 33 for a little bonus bet. But we had a great day. I think it's
[00:01:32] the general consensus. It's the general consensus. Is most of any good? Just kidding. He's so fucking good. It's so good. But a couple things real quick. We've talked about on the show a little bit, but at Nazim in the discord about managing your
[00:01:47] money, how to manage your units, but also just the cash in general. And one thing that I've done in my years of sports betting kind of learned, I don't know if it always works, but I pull all the money out. So usually every day,
[00:01:59] some days I don't get to it, but I pull all the money out that way. If I'm placing a wager, I have to deposit. Now, if you have an account that's not for sports
[00:02:06] betting and you need to look at your account, this will be a lot of ins and outs. But for me, it's just a total in and out on an account. So that way you're able to be a little bit more like for example today when we cashed
[00:02:19] a couple of bets early on, you're like, Oh, maybe just throw a little bit more in there. But if you get it out, you can't throw it on, can't make bad bets. But in doing so, they also trigger more deposits. And I've
[00:02:28] had in the last three days, I've had three from one book and I just got one for DraftKings that was a 25% up to $1,000 in free bets. And you should always match those out. So take a look on your books, dig deep on your
[00:02:42] promos and see if you have some free bets because we've got quite a few in the last few. So that point of that is that tonight, Brandon Vasquez plays soccer against this team. Oh, here, Rudy for you. Is Sinsey broken?
[00:03:00] It's not LAFC. I went in on Sinsey first. You're not talking about LAFC. I'm going to say something controversial. LAFC is offensively broken. They are not broken as a whole. Sinsey, Sinsey, not LAFC. Correct. Sinsey is not broken as a whole, but
[00:03:22] they are offensively broken. Unlike LAFC, unlike LAFC, who has a striker, who scores lots of goals, Sinsey does not. They did shore up their defense, but their offense is struggling. And I feel bad for their midfield because I think their midfield is great. So we're looking
[00:03:43] at a broken offense. Yeah, I agree. And their goal scores going up against them. Now we found this in a really nice spot in the last game. Do we go back to the well? I think they caught on.
[00:03:57] They've got him at plus 135 anytime, plus 400 first. This is going to be either... I think it's going to be a stinker, but this, now that I said that, I feel like it's going to be either right as we drew it up or somehow
[00:04:12] have five second half goals like the Leverkusen game did today. You know what I mean? So if anybody scores in this game, it's got to be him, right? I think so. I think he's going to score, but I think there's...
[00:04:24] I think it's going to be several goals. I think Cincinnati, I don't think they're going to send their best. I think they don't mind getting knocked out of Conca Calf right now. They're not able to get their shit together in MLS.
[00:04:35] I don't think they're going to put their best 11 on this. They're away from home. They're in Monterey. That crowd is going to be up for it. I think this is going to be a slow defensive posture with a hope of getting
[00:04:49] a counter attack goal. And then if they get it one-on-one, then maybe they make a substitution or true and try to go for the win. But I think that this is playing for a counter attack goal. I think Monterey is going to have a ton of fucking shots.
[00:05:06] If I could bet on anything, it would be Monterey makes a lot of shots. So here's... That's my bet. Here's something I don't want to just start off coming in hot and bitching about. So actually, no, we were pretty happy.
[00:05:16] In MLS, in other leagues, I'm able to bet shots. And we've been absolutely crushing shots and we were crushing corners. This is what happens. I'll research a market for a really long time
[00:05:25] and I'll feel like I have a really good grip on it and I'll be crushing it. Like I was doing with NHL Totals and then I'll bring it in, introduce it. Everybody kind of like leans into it a little bit
[00:05:33] and then I give them one play and something goes wrong. Since he Nashville or no, Nashville, Miami, we needed three corners and they just decided to just never have a corner in that game. And it's like, you know, I'm crushing these corners.
[00:05:47] But my point is we've been crushing the shots. But certain leagues, for example, your... What the... Euros, the the Conca Caps, any of these like international non-league tournaments, they're not offering shots. But today they offered shots for Liverpool.
[00:06:04] So it'll be like team based and then same with corners. They're not giving it to me. So in this game tonight, I'd love to bet on shots, but it looks like we're not getting that opportunity. So that was a lot of complaining for not a lot of help.
[00:06:20] Sorry. My point is I would be with you on that. It's good to know the next. Yeah, it is. There is going to be a lot of shots. I think Monterey is going to go to town on them
[00:06:30] since he's just going to try to absorb a lot of pressure. I don't see Pat Noonan going for the throat here in Mexico. So New England also plays their up 4-0 on aggregate. I think that's going to be a snoozer.
[00:06:44] I think it's going to be a lot of youth play from New England, a lot of defensive strategy. I don't think they, you know, they don't need to do anything to really... They could just fall asleep really and kind of walk this through. Yeah, that's kind of where...
[00:07:02] It is not a... Yeah. That's kind of where I'm curious. Is that going to be a rebound from... I'm not even going to attempt to say alahuelencia? Yeah, alahuelencia. Yeah. No, I was just going to make up a name. That's not how you say it.
[00:07:20] I was just trying to be clear about it. I could do a revolution. So is that going to be a two goal game or is that one we'd stay away from? I think this slay is pretty trashed, but trying to force it. Yeah. Even if you...
[00:07:33] I would stay away from that one. Yeah. OK, cool. Yeah, if you could, I wouldn't even do both teams a score. I just would just stay clear away. If you're going to do anything in Concordi, Concon, Concaf, you want to do the Monterey-Sensei game. Which is odd.
[00:07:51] I mean, I agree with you, but the... I think they'll be scoring another game, but it's juiced a lot heavier. It's like 575, the one and a half in the New England game. And Monterey-Sensei is minus 370, one and a half. Do you think Monterey is going to, like,
[00:08:07] try to bury them or is this just a score and get on to the next round? No, I think they want to bury him. I think that they want to go into the next round having having displayed that they smeared an MLS team.
[00:08:23] I think this is because this Concordi, Concon, Concaf stuff, there's a lot of there's just a lot of juice in that, you know, USA versus Mexico teams. Yeah. And there's just a lot and Monterey, Monterey's got something to prove. Harrison in the discord said,
[00:08:46] I would love another trouncing of an MLS team. They are very fun to watch. I agree. It's just good soccer. It's just good soccer. I like the rivalry between the United States and Mexico, between MLS and the Mx.
[00:08:58] So this is this is going to be a good game. I think the other one's done already. We could probably just call it. Yeah, the four on aggregate stuff. So here before we'll move on to the stuff that matters,
[00:09:08] but Brandon Vasquez, any time goal scorer over one and a half goals plus 160 on the game. I have bonus. They'll play. I think he'll play. He's only going to play one half. Yeah. Yeah, I'm going to start the game and go out early
[00:09:25] or he's going to come in the last 15 minutes. Actually, this game starts. Oh, no, it's a 1015 game. So we do not have confirmed lineups yet. You know, I definitely should not. Wait, what's going on? I definitely should not force this. That's what it feels like.
[00:09:41] Sorry, somebody said a DM line up. Once those lineups come out, maybe. Yeah, something down, but it might be a little early. I'm forcing it because I have a bonus bet. I try to treat my bonus bets either on something that is just wild
[00:09:54] or something that I genuinely think like I would put real money on because if I start just placing bonus bets on it because not real, that's not a good strategy. So damn it. I want to force it, but let's just look at MLS. And this next slate.
[00:10:08] So have you had a chance to look through and determine your favorite matches? We talked briefly, but I'm just curious, like off top of your head. What what you're in love with? If anything, I do love to hate things. Yeah, no, there's some good matches, I think coming.
[00:10:24] I mean, this whole weekend is a good weekend for soccer. I am even if we're just if we're just go down the slate early games to to later games, games that I would not have thought interesting, that will be interesting. That's the first one right there.
[00:10:39] I would not have thought last year these two teams playing each other would be an interesting game. Montreal, Chicago, yeah, Chicago. That is an interesting game. Montreal is playing very well. The scoring goals, which is something they had struggling with last year. They've made some replacements.
[00:10:55] They made some upgrades. They're scoring goals. Chicago, a team that I would call shit, cargo last year, even though they don't have a they don't have a bunch of points right now, they are looking really good and they're looking like a much, much better than organized team.
[00:11:11] So that's a game last year that I would have said that's going to be shit. I think it's going to be a decent game. Of course, D.C. United hosting Inter Miami is going to be great. D.C. United has found scoring form this year.
[00:11:23] We know what Inter Miami can do. They're top of the table. They're absolutely fantastic. We watch them midweek as well. Kick ass. I think that's going to be a great game. Obviously, you and I have talked about Columbus Red Bulls. That's probably the best game on the slate.
[00:11:40] Yeah. This is good. I mean, the East has a lot of good things. I feel the West has some good ones too. I think the Minnesota LFC game is going to be great. And I think Houston, Portland, you and I talked about that off the pod.
[00:11:52] Just just talking to each other. I think that's going to be a good one. So you want to hear something silly? There are three clubs in all of MLS, all 29 teams in MLS. Right. Yeah. Because we're where we have an odd number.
[00:12:08] So there are teams on buy every week. I kind of forgot that somebody brought that up in the game the other day. And I was like, Oh, yeah. But that will change. But anyways, three teams that are 100%, two and a half over two and a half
[00:12:18] and 100% both teams to score in the last five. So we're in week four, so this does carry over a little bit. But that means every game this season, right? And the two prior. Right. Can you guess what three teams or any of those three teams?
[00:12:33] The way that I ask that question, I feel like implies that it's not what you expect if that helps. Yeah. I mean, right now I'm going to say based on that. So this is not this is just for this year, right? The last five matches.
[00:12:50] Yes. The last five matches are 100%. 100% in the over two and a half. So minimum of three goals and both teams to score. OK, I'm going to say Inter Miami. Nope. That's one. There is not. OK, you would think. Yeah, I would think I would say Portland.
[00:13:17] Portland is on the list. OK, I would say. This is terrible. I would say I would actually say DC DC is not on there. They were they were they're looking pretty good, but they are 67% on both. It is Chicago and Dallas are the other two. Oh, really? OK.
[00:13:40] I was actually I wasn't going to say this. Who's going to say Minnesota or LA Galaxy? Interesting. Yeah, right? Would not have picked. Yeah. Yeah. Would not have picked that. No, I don't even think I agree. I think it's horseshit. 100. No, it's stupid.
[00:13:56] You just you disagree that they disagree with what you said. I disagree. The eye test says no. That's fair. So if you look at kind of like what you're talking about, so I'm pulling up these pictures again, I clicked over there to tell you that.
[00:14:13] We kind of decided that. Our game may be outside of Dallas and Vancouver because Dallas and Vancouver are 100% on the season. Over one and a half goals. And I think there's some some offense there. Minnesota and Lafc is another one we brought up. They are.
[00:14:34] 100% head to head over the one and a half. I like them to score goals. I don't know about I don't know about two and a half just with Lafc, but I think I think you are a little bit more confident in Lafc scoring than I am.
[00:14:49] They've got to start scoring goals. It's going to happen. It's going to happen. I think it's going to happen in Minnesota. I think Minnesota still wins this game. I think it's maybe a two one, but Minnesota has been playing super sound and Pookie is just
[00:15:06] I feel like he's about to open open a can of whoop ass, as they used to say in the early 2000s upon the Los Angeles Football Club. I, you know, for me, if I'm talking both teams to score or maybe even
[00:15:21] over two and a half, it's got to be the LA Galaxy, St. Louis City, right? See, this is this is where this is where I'm struggling. The games that I'm that I like, the stats are telling me I shouldn't like them.
[00:15:37] And the games that I'm like, now that was going to be a stinker, like DC and Inner, that's 100 percent both score or 100 percent over two and a half, 90 percent average. The MLS average right now is 76 percent for over one and a half.
[00:15:53] But Miami has just been putting in so many goals that they're just they're bringing up that average for anybody they play. But DC scored five in three matches. So they are not far behind. They have figured out how to score goals this year. Is Portland off this week?
[00:16:09] Is Portland off this week? What is Portland off? That's right. That was the other one, Portland and Houston, because Portland scored eight goals and then Houston feels like they've scored goals, but they really haven't. So it's like they've scored two and they've allowed three in two matches.
[00:16:27] So they're averaging a goal per match. Like, is that game going to deliver or is that going to end up being like when Portland plays Seattle every year? You know, I mean, no, no. That that I've this is a good slate this weekend.
[00:16:43] I think the Houston, the Houston Portland games going to have a few goals. I think the Minnesota LFC game, like I said, is going to have a few goals. I'm not sure about us that looks like a BTTS. I'm not sure about us taking the victory.
[00:16:55] New York Red Bulls look damn good. And so that one, I'm not sure about more than two goals in that game. I think in the Intermajn game, I think there's more than two. I think there's more than two in that Chicago Montreal game.
[00:17:09] I think there's more than two in the Houston, Portland, more than two Minnesota LFC, I think more than two LA Galaxy, St. Louis. The other ones I think are probably I've done this before with Nashville. I think they're going to be a Boring'sville against Charlotte.
[00:17:25] But Charlotte is notorious for letting in goals that they shouldn't let in. And so it could just be a practice game for Nashville. Yeah, I don't have anything. I don't have anything that I'm that I'm full, full go on yet. I think I'll have something.
[00:17:44] I know this show is supposed to be supposed to be more about that. I think we should do at least pod picks. If you're not going to do smacks, we should at least do pod picks. Yeah. So that's what I was getting to.
[00:17:55] I say we could give stuff that you lean. I just don't want to give out a bunch of I don't want to force anything. MLS is better than Conker Kafe because we can we can look at shots. So yeah, I think what I would do here is
[00:18:12] God, just I keep wanting Messi to not be messy and it just he just is. So I mean like for DC, Intermaj. But ten K messy Suarez to just all have one shot on target.
[00:18:27] So what I was saying was the tech a messy Suarez all one shot on target. Yeah. So we have for sure the three of those that is minus one eleven. I would add that to you throw Jordi Alba in there.
[00:18:41] You could he's been shooting and shooting more, but he's been shooting. He's actually plus two twenty to have a shot on target. So you could say maybe one or more shots, but I'm looking at shots on target. Messi is going to be on target.
[00:18:57] Suarez is going to be on target. But ten K is going to be on target. And what I look for when I do the shots on target like tonight, if I was able to am I still in here?
[00:19:05] If I was able to bet on shots, I would take two first half shots on target on Bernad Vazquez. You know what I mean? Because like regardless of he scores, that's the thing that we're looking at is what they average per 90. And wait, what happened here?
[00:19:24] Oh, nice. What a terrible show. So what I do here is I look at shots per 90 and then I look at shots, for example, with if the game script is is saying that you're going to stay in for a half like this this morning,
[00:19:37] Darin Nunez is like he was only going to play a half today. So he's going to get as much as he can in the first half. And he did so you can kind of front load what they would try to get in a normal 90 in a first half.
[00:19:49] Sorry, Saturday, March 16th. I'm going to give you the averages of those. I'm smacking that at minus one 11. I absolutely love that. So there's a podcast pick right there. That's Messi, Suarez and Ben Tecay. Those are the guys who are going to score goals
[00:19:59] and those are guys going to be trying to score goals. So there's no like. Are they going to be looking? Hopefully they'll sneak one in. Those are the guys that fucking shoot. So you don't have to worry about that at all.
[00:20:09] Well, you know, in Messi is going to have fresh. Yeah, Messi is going to have fresh legs. He was he he rested. This is going to be it's going to be a great game. This could be.
[00:20:18] This could be jumping off into Miami and now moving into the to the West Coast. Sam, you asked about Colorado earlier about something else. I would like to bring this up. This could be Seattle Sounders. You know, coming out party.
[00:20:32] They have had a slow start so far to the season. I think them hosting Colorado. This might be the opportunity they're looking to make a statement like I've said, they've got five or six rolled on brothers on their team. All the rolled-ons are good.
[00:20:51] I think that this could be a coming out party for Seattle against Colorado. Look for that one to have a lot of goals as well. So Messi is myself into it. Which one is that? The Seattle Sounders and the Colorado Rapids. And what was the bet?
[00:21:10] I'm listening, I swear. I would say at definitely over one and a half. I wouldn't do both teams a score, but definitely over one and a half for that game. Nice. Maybe the first half. Maybe in the first half.
[00:21:29] All right. Let me see if I can find that. Suarez, one and a half shots on target per 90 minutes. Messi 2.33. So we're all averaging over. I'm going to look up in 10 K as well, but they're all averaging over one shot on target per 90. So minus 111.
[00:21:47] I absolutely love that smack the shit out of that. And then we'll look at. I'm going to look at shots and some of these other ones actually. Who? Who do you think if you had to take three players that are going to have a shot on target?
[00:22:01] So like for example, Pookie, you know, I mean, like he's going to have a shot on target or Kucho, let's see what Kucho's one shot on target is. One shot on target is it's going to be like minus 15,000. I'd say that's going to. Oh, I guess minus 900.
[00:22:17] Minus 900 is not bad. Look what they have in here too is Russell Rowe shot on target. They'll definitely have shots. The problem has been the shots on target. We could do one shot on target in the first half with Kucho. That's minus 180. That's actually like a.
[00:22:34] That's that's pretty nice if they're coming out fast. He's going to be shooting nuts for sure. And he's at home. Yeah, let's do that. Talk to myself into that. Kucho first half shot on target is minus 180. You hear me, Rudy? That feels I do.
[00:22:47] Yeah, that feels I feel almost too good to be true. Nice. Let me look up Kucho. We got we got to look up. What are you looking up? I'm looking up Minnesota right now. And Kucho's averaging right now. Three shots on target. Can you hear me?
[00:23:15] Kucho's averaging three shots on target per 90 minutes. That is a that is an aggressive. That is dumb. That is that is dumb. I want to see what his three or more shots on target. His three or more. His three or more shots on targets plus 165.
[00:23:34] So if you do, if you took one shot on target in the first half, two total shots on target, it's minus 115. That'd be a nice little little Kucho parlay that it doesn't have to score to hit. Obviously to score assists, but that that play is just getting
[00:23:50] it's getting juice to the point of where actually he didn't score last game. Let's see what his to score assist us minus 140. Holy shit. Yeah, dude. He does love to kick the ball. So if you go to Kucho to score assists,
[00:24:03] Kucho two or more shots on target for the full 90 and one first half shot on target, you get plus 166. So you get a nice plus money. I'm going to build that in draft Kings and see if I can't use one of my
[00:24:16] one of my little bonus bets on it. I love that because he didn't score last game and he didn't. Did he have an assist? I don't think he had an assist last game either. He just kind of he's just kind of there.
[00:24:26] He had plenty of shots on target though. That's for sure. Yeah. Salah had three helpers and a goal in in like 12 minutes. Oh, Kurtz Kucho scored in the last game. That's right. He scored the first goal. Yeah, he scored the first goal.
[00:24:41] Wow. So he's still at to score to score assist. Yeah, that's great. OK, cool. I've talked to myself on that one as well. I wonder if listening to me find plays is as annoying as I feel like it would be. It's awful. Yeah, that's fine.
[00:24:58] Dip into the Minnesota game. Hang on. I'm still here, buddy. I'm still here with Kucho trying to see if we can get the thing in draft Kings. Remember, the problem is they don't have shots over here. What's that? No, it's great. No shots.
[00:25:15] They're not giving it to you. Yeah. So we know it's a bet, but no one's got it. No, Vandal does. In the trend. Oh, no, dude, if you saw me actually in when I'm cooking, it is you do not want to be in the same room.
[00:25:31] I get deep locked in. It's it's bad. Well, we're good. Kucho to score assists at 140 is fucking wild. I feel like we just smashed that by itself. You did two shots on target and to score assists minus 14 or minus or plus 117. That is pretty great, too.
[00:25:50] I like all of these. Yeah, I need to really need to write all these down. You need to take notes as we do that so we can put them all in the podcast picks because I'm not actually, I guess if I bet them, they're still here.
[00:26:00] Yeah, that's literally it right there. The live chat's fun. If you're not in here, you should jump in. Harrison, that is what that is. What Tim looks like. Yeah, pretty accurate. You're not if you're in the discord and you're not in the podcast, jump in real quick.
[00:26:15] It's a fun one. Are we done with you? Joe, how close are we? We can't spend. We can spend another five minutes looking up Kucho stuff. Well, we can if we if we fucking hit the bets, buddy. You people spend eight hours in a fucking room all day
[00:26:28] for a plus 166. We already said these weren't going to be smacks. Well, they're not some acts. They're turning into them very quickly. What I'm trying to decide right now is if I want to run Kucho with any other combos or if you just take him to score assist.
[00:26:45] What does he call him? Pepe, the guy in the in the always sunny. They're like trying to get his name. I can't remember. It's crazy. So here I'm going to do the shots. We're going shots with Kucho. We can't not take shots with Kucho.
[00:26:57] We're going to go two or more shots on target, one or more shots on target in the first half. And that'll be plus money. And I fucking love it. So are we cool with that? I feel like that's a smack, but they look. No, it is. It is.
[00:27:11] All right. So this is now gone beyond podcast. It's going to podcast smack. They're turning into podcast place and they're all good. So we're just going to. We're going to love it. Where is one or more shot in the first half? There it is.
[00:27:25] OK, so if you take the two of those and combine them. Yes, that is absolutely. That is an absolute smack level. We've got a minus one 15. So we're hitting that. I'm betting it right now with real freedom units.
[00:27:38] And if you want to party, you can add that with Kucho to score assist and you get plus 166. I do like that a lot. So that's not, I wouldn't call that a smack. It's hard to have a plus money smack,
[00:27:50] but I'm a big fan of what we just put together. What I need to work on is. What I need to work on is the over one and a half in the both teams to score,
[00:28:01] because we've been one leg away from a plus seven 20 and a plus six 88. There's no boost for soccer yet. I've been looking for a soccer boost so we can get it up to that 6900. But I don't have anything yet.
[00:28:15] So that's the last thing we'll do on the show. Let's build a both teams to score and try to get as close to plus 690 as we can. Are you down with that? Yeah, I mean, we can try. Let's try. Let's go. We do not try. We do.
[00:28:32] I'm starting with DC in Miami. Is that your favorite both teams to score of the week or am I crazy? Because I think it's fine. No, it's not. It's not mine. It's not your favorite. No. OK, what's your favorite? We'll put that one in there
[00:28:45] because I'm starting with. So I'm starting with DC and Miami. My and Pedro Santos. Favorite. Oh, God, I love Pedro Santos. God, I love Pedro Santos. If I'm going to do a favorite for both teams to score for me is LA Galaxy, St. Louis.
[00:29:03] OK, let's go down there and grab that. Is Houston Houston? Portland has to be right. Or not. Portland. It should be because Houston's at home. They're going to go for it. They've been slow to start this season. The problem is, is Portland's fucking good.
[00:29:22] And so a Portland's let in a bunch of goals too. So yeah, that could be it. That's that's a decent both teams to score. I would call that a decent both teams to score. I would think that the Minnesota LFC game is actually a better
[00:29:35] both teams of score than the Houston Portland. OK, so we're going we're going to. Shit, DC, Miami, I threw in there. Houston, Portland, I threw in there and then you said. Where LA Galaxy, St. Louis. Yeah, that makes a lot of sense.
[00:29:53] Both teams scored on that one as minus 200. That is, I think. I think other people think that's happening too. Yeah, it seems to be a consensus. And then you think LFC, Minnesota, I do like that as a both team to score as well.
[00:30:06] I like that as both teams minus one eighty five. OK, so if we get that we're at plus 500. So it looks like we'd have to have one more bet. It doesn't have to be a both team to score.
[00:30:16] I guess it could be a total or something like that. But I'm just trying to get it as close to the plus six ninety as possible. So we need one more. Let's do one more both. Yeah. You're like yanking my arms if you're like pulling me both directions.
[00:30:31] Mm hmm. I'm doing, I would say Columbus, New York Red Bulls. And you think the Red Bulls get one? And I. You've seen J.R.R. token. You've seen that prolific fantasy writer running down the field, running down the left flank.
[00:30:52] Would you put it past him to put in a delicious assist? I wouldn't. I would say that makes sense to me. He's real good. He's real good. All right. So we have, oh, you know what? No, that was last week. So we've got this is March 16th.
[00:31:07] Right. Yeah, I'm good at days. Philadelphia, Austin, all have been both teams of score. Casey San Jose. I don't love that. DC, Miami, 100 percent. Everything else is less. But Columbus and New York are fourth and fifth. Both have scored two, both have allowed two through three
[00:31:30] and average two goals per. I kind of want to leave us out of it. But last time I did that, it caused us to miss the bet. Yeah, that does feel right. We've got Minnesota already. We got DC already. We got St. Louis Galaxy.
[00:31:45] Yeah, we got everybody in here. It feels like we're the last. That or we all sought like. Because they've given up five and they've scored five there. They just they just love goals. Colorado, four and six. They don't even care who scores them. They're scoring them.
[00:32:01] Other people are scoring them. I don't give a shit. As long as there's goals going in. All right. So what do we got here? The last one would be us. Let me see what our line is. If it's exactly sixty nine hundred, that's minus one thirty five.
[00:32:14] Those are actually the best odds of any of them. So if we add us to it, we get plus nine forty three. Let's do this. I wonder if we can do the total in our game because there will be two goals in our game.
[00:32:25] So if we go to one and a half at minus three sixty in our game, we get plus six sixty five. We're so close. So close. I feel like that's close enough. That's about right. So we've got a lot of state areas.
[00:32:40] We could say it's about sixty nine. Yeah, just basically sixty nine and there's no boost to boost it. All right. So what we're doing here is both teams score in D.C. Miami, Houston, Portland, Galaxy, St. Louis, Minnesota, LFC,
[00:32:54] and then over one and a half total goals in the Columbus crew match. Yeah. And I you could do over one and a half in the Miami D.C. That seems real safe. Well, if it's both teams score,
[00:33:07] then it would have to clear the one and a half so you can't you can't combine the two. I mean, I guess you could, but it wouldn't really change anything. It wouldn't. Well, because the either way, it's two goals. You know, I mean the way.
[00:33:21] OK, cool. So six sixty five. It's close to sixty nine. We're going to hit that. Wait, what happened here? No, we're going to hit that. What is that bonus? So so a hundred bucks pays out six hundred sixty five dollars. Love that. Let's send it. I like it.
[00:33:37] All right. Send it. I like. Feels good. OK. It's in. Hell yeah. So we've got the two. We get the two shot on. I'm with you. Yeah. So we've got the two shots on target. The first one with in that DC game
[00:33:53] where everyone's going to score goals, we have been ten K messy Suarez to shoot. So I'm cool with that. I think we just. We send it as a smack the other two tail. I'm fucking partying on this. I want to hit one of these big ones.
[00:34:07] We've had the two single legs for leaving Orlando completely out of this and then predictions for the crew. What do you think is going to happen with us? Not not like betting wise, just. Based on what we've seen recently. Here's here's the.
[00:34:22] I have some I have some concerns about the game. One of the concerns I have about the game is a player named Louis Morgan. And the reason that I have a problem with Louis Morgan is because this guy, you know,
[00:34:35] he had a he had a good career at Miami. He had a decent career at Celtic and decent at Sunderland. What I love about this guy's style of play is he plays with European physicality, but he spent enough time at Inter Miami that he plays an MLS speed.
[00:35:01] Yeah. And so he's he is a he is a formidable striker. He doesn't have a ton of goals so far this season, only two. But I think that he is going to really, really shine in the Eastern Conference this year. So my number one worry is Louis Morgan.
[00:35:21] I think that he is super dangerous. I think he puts in a goal against us. He has a game at home. So I that's that's my that's my number one. Obviously, you and I talk ad nauseam about Tolkien. I think he's going to he's going to show up.
[00:35:39] He loves taunting our crowd. Nothing gets under his skin. He is he just he's just a really, really good player. And Emil Forsberg has just been excellent for them. So I this is a this is a really, really good team. I can definitely see both teams to score.
[00:36:02] I could see I could see them sneaking a win. If it's one one late, I can see them sneaking in a goal and snagging the win away from home, making a big statement in the Eastern Conference. That is not out of the realm of possibility.
[00:36:17] I am not I am not. I don't think that Columbus right now is playing leagues above the New York Red Bulls. That's fair. Liz was asking about the techie in the chat. They have been projected to play and in the starting lineup at full form.
[00:36:34] So he should be in there. But if he doesn't, you could swap him and Kucho for one shot on goal and have a similar play. I wouldn't use anybody else from DC. Maybe a single shot from our boy Pedro, but not a shot on target.
[00:36:50] When's the last time he scored a goal? It's been a minute. Who Pedro Pedro? Yeah. Yeah, it's been a minute. And it was it was only his he was only scoring tons of goals when he's playing more in the middle for us. Yeah, he's playing on the back.
[00:37:05] That is his role, his most dangerous role for us. And I think for DC United, is his crosses into the box. Because he can cross them accurately into the box at any area probably from halfway through the first half all the way to the end line.
[00:37:26] So he's just dangerous. Most of the field, he's dangerous. God, I love that man. Can I miss him? Yeah, he's he's a lot of fun. OK, so just one more. If you don't want to play Ben Tenke, which I love that play,
[00:37:41] you can do the Messi Suarez one shot on target combo with Cuccio for like minus one forty or one thirty or something like that. I am so so fine with playing that. I'd almost even look at a two to two party. But that's enough for now.
[00:37:57] We've got the Cuccio two shots, one shot for one is one fifteen. We got the three shots at one forty, the three shots with Ben Tenke for minus one eleven. And then we built that that both team to score a banger. That's absolutely going to hit.
[00:38:13] We did just on just on that. So so here is one of the reasons and we mentioned a little bit. Here's one of the reasons why the the bet with DC scoring at home. I do, you know, Ben Tenke is questionable. He's listed as questionable,
[00:38:29] which means he'd only be a second half substitute. But we don't need him to score. We just need one shot on target. OK, well, we need him to score for the for the bus team to score. Yeah, we need we need that.
[00:38:41] But we need that team to score. Yeah. DC will score against Miami. All right. Well, I think I just lost Rudy again. But that's pretty much all we have to say. Not our finest work. Pretty good. Yes. So head over to the discord.
[00:39:00] Get the rest of the picks. Are you back, Rudy? You froze it for that. I don't know if that was me or you. But all right, cool. We pretty much got everything we needed in there. We got the plays keeping the discord.
[00:39:10] I'll have more, but this is just our first look at this week four. Week three, depending on week five, depending on which team you are, week four of MLS, we like it a lot. It's going to be a good one. Get the discord, get these picks.
[00:39:24] Let's get a brand of Vasquez goal tonight. Is that what we think? Is that what we like? I feel like we just get a brand of that brand of Vasquez goal tonight and then all as well.
[00:39:33] Is there, is there an, is there a scenario where brand of Vasquez scores a goal now that we don't celebrate? I just love that guy. Yeah. He doesn't play for since anymore. He doesn't play for since anymore.
[00:39:43] I don't have to worry about him scoring against us anymore on a regular basis. I brand of Vasquez score away, my friend. Yeah. Did we did we gave that out? We said the if you take the one and a half total in that game at minus three
[00:39:55] fifty and the Vasquez to score at one fifty five. It's like a plus one sixty. So I'm a pretty big fan of that for that game. And if you bet that, you get to watch brand of Vasquez and root form.
[00:40:07] So we're doing that as well with a bonus bet. But if you want to sprinkle on it, feel free to jump on with us. That's plenty of shit. We'll get the rest of it. I'll get this all up in the pocket specs in the discord.
[00:40:17] If you're not there, come fucking join me. We are having a good time. We are already up like two point two eight units today. We just need NBA to come through and keep it keep it rolling. Oh, that I got to get one more corner.
[00:40:32] It gets and I guess at about thirty nine. No, no, you are not caught up. We are at. Yep. Thirty nine ninety four overall plus two point one six. So I forgot I was doing it. Yeah, I nailed that totally caught up.
[00:40:49] The best part, Tim, is when we hit our best month and overall we're sixty nine for the year. That's what we're talking about. I'd like to do sixty nine a month not for the year. I want to be more than the year. We're a month and a half.
[00:41:01] We're at forty. We're going to we're going to crush that. OK, this is the worst podcast of all time. If you're still here, I'm sorry. Why? We're going to we're going to smack everything tomorrow and by tomorrow I mean Saturday. Bye. Just the worst.